TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x80aa…e8ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
167
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Mls, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 61 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3030%9 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+82.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Algeria vs. Austria: Second half draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+289.6%+$40.53
Algeria vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+651.7%+$136.83
IR Iran to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+548%+$100.56
United States to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Türkiye vs. United States: 2nd Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$44.33
Switzerland to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+617.4%+$86.43
Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Ghana to score first vs. Panama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.99
England vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.66
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Portugal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.33
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.67
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.67
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+1,136.1%+$212.06
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.95
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2222.7%5 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+76.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: Al Faisaly Saudi Club O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
FC Seoul vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+324.4%+$45.42
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+335.6%+$46.97
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.47
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.71
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.99
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+365.4%+$51.14
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.66
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+455.5%+$57.96
Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.43
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.65
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.99
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$266
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.67
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 22 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Internacional vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: Mirassol FC 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+575.7%+$121.13
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.16
Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.04
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)backed Grêmio FBPA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+584.4%+$122.71
SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+294.4%+$41.2
Carabobo FC vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.59
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+358.3%+$50.16
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.04
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.66
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
EC Bahia vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 16 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT130%0 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AZ leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Exact Score: IK Start 0 - 3 Rosenborg BK?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
SK Brann vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.67
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Antalyaspor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Will Eyüpspor vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.02
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Odense BK win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will FC Porto vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed CD Santa Clara · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick15cpaid+296.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ŠK Slovan Bratislava leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Larne FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+323.3%+$45.25
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+819.1%+$152.89
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+2,128.4%+$595.89
All 9 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.42per pick21cpaid+204.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Mls — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick11cpaid+93.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick5cpaid+522.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+96%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+980.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick14cpaid+399.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.99per pick1cpaid+15,809.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+12,384.3%+$3,417.53
Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+19,234.5%+$2,854.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+109.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will King Green win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Ethyn Ewing win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+1.00per pick0cpaid+29,445.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29,445.5%+$5,496.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+3,621%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+3,621%+$1,013.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+523.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+523.1%+$85.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+350.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Senators: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+350.4%+$49.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+330%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Contra vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North ACE Masters Group Bbacked Contra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+330%+$46.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+297.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+297.7%+$41.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Felix Rosenqvist win the 2026 Indianapolis 500?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of April 13 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be 150 points or greater?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.