Asian League · resolved market
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64fda37d37edae33ae22650d83f2ba31db5e9bc4aa58ba841f681a6675a2f7dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 20c | 2,750$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 1,565$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.59 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…f7f3backed Yes | 3c | 1,323$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 15c | 1,002$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 61c | 548.05$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.09 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 40c | 467.44$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.13 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b50…ef4cbacked No | 12c | 420.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa0…e78abacked No | 22c | 419.11$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 309$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 72c | 292.95$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 16c | 267.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Yes | 20c | 248.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…a5c7backed Yes | 80c | 229.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked Yes | 8c | 202.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked No | 16c | 192.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.3 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…8aa4backed No | 79c | 176.93$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yes | 15c | 153.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…010ebacked Yes | 80c | 150.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed No | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 68c | 130.39$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 70c | 127.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 66c | 127.26$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Yes | 24c | 120.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 53c | 101.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 44c | 99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 72c | 98.55$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 20c | 97.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +10.6wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No | 18c | 95.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 65c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 67c | 82.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255c…6e58backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…7693backed Yes | 24c | 68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe679…9eb3backed No | 76c | 68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 71c | 67.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 57c | 57.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 63c | 56.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 23c | 52.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 49.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…0979backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…a30bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…4effbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…ea79backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…845fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…727ebacked Yes | 61c | 39.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…b756backed No | 67c | 37.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 44c | 34.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…6b9cbacked Yes | 44c | 33.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…7621backed Yes | 61c | 31.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 34c | 31.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 88 | 6.8%6 W · 82 L | -22.0wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5e74…ef2bbacked No | 58c | 28.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Yes | 66c | 22.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 76c | 14.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-06-27?Yes won
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-06-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.