Asian League · resolved market
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-06-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a91e1e6864d8e12d83c3058dc15981a28d5ad89cfcf3da93c86ab65a9e9bca3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked Yes | 3c | 5,742$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 16c | 3,150$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.91 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes | 22c | 964.95$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 5c | 508.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 446.19$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 80c | 311.76$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 80c | 220.92$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 80c | 171.5$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 19c | 126.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Yes | 21c | 120.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 97.13$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 80c | 87.09$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 22c | 69.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 79c | 66.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 49.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 78c | 27.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 78c | 25.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…4e33backed No | 80c | 22.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-06-27?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-06-27?Yes won
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.