TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7fa5…7621

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: AI, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category AI at 58 out of 100; worst Asian League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lamine Yamal score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.72
Will Julian Alvarez score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.22
Will Julian Alvarez score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.05
Will Christian Pulisic score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.59
Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$5.77
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.19
Will Mexico be the highest-scoring team in Group A during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.14
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Czechia vs. Mexico: 2nd Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$14.78
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Canada?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.65
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.44
Belgium vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$40.72
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$20.45
Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 Paraguay?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.22
Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 Paraguay?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$14.77
Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 8.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$4.6
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Korea Republic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+26%+$7.63
Argentina to score first vs. Algeria?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.58
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+308.2%+$44.28
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.28
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$28.82
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$5
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+138.2%+$35.25
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$25.16
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$13.44
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on May 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$4.57
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+120.5%+$14.98
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$4.53
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+57.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+149.4%+$224.82
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$7.62
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.91
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$25.6
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.36
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+378.6%+$62
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.73
Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 300.0k by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.92
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 600.0k by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.18
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 750.0k by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.84
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$6.56
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$31.23
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.71
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of June 22 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.58
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$13.1
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.82
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$13.84
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$16.87
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+66.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+105.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: EJ (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)backed Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.52
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.21
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+236.5%+$148.72
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+48.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+138.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$49.88
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$4.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs So:sweet (+1.5)backed So:sweet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.