TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,925,111
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,919,773

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,925,111 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 807 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c325,438$179,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145,605.814,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under33c122,999$40,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,778.0625038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over45c88,893$40,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,034.2214343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over37c88,659$32,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,899.153,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Over49c71,200$34,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,884.459747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over40c70,000$28,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,999.6417840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over44c69,064$30,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,388.0977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over40c41,722$16,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,749.451,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Under63c36,821$23,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,711.2349441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under51c35,290$18,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,275.052,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Over45c32,813$14,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,821.2114727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over24c32,555$7,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,897.058,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7a4…e371backed Over51c27,000$13,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,7704235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under46c25,970$11,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,102.5314544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under31c24,179$7,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,784.51,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under76c20,811$15,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,025.2328229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over41c20,345$8,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,341.349742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over62c17,004$10,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,603.3321631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under53c16,043$8,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,610.282,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over38c15,882$5,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,988.2824533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under62c14,792$9,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,670.271,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over71c13,996$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over32c13,584$4,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,324.7917544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under34c13,493$4,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,947.0623857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over76c11,917$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00059453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over49c11,913$5,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,827.4558926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Under55c11,579$6,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,210.66152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Under60c11,375$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,575.386459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Over57c10,836$6,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,126.357538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over20c9,981$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over45c9,950$4,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,505.6785550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Over69c9,301$6,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,417.6433538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under55c9,041$5,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,036.492,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed Under54c8,924$4,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,119.925541.8%23 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+105.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over37c8,314$3,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,047.0134964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under29c8,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,679.8974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over45c7,430$3,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,34035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over70c7,143$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over70c7,143$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0008672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Over29c6,759$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.0712634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under75c6,404$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.8165948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over44c6,370$2,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,802.88254.9%45 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over27c6,235$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.2533544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over71c6,184$4,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,390.6438734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over28c6,165$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.5744130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under55c6,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70016258.6%95 W · 67 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1da…27bdbacked Under63c5,680$3,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,112.734472.7%32 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Under49c5,658$2,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,896.8721759%128 W · 89 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x45dd…7181backed Over71c5,634$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0004040%16 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under33c5,377$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,602.0333843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under56c5,358$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,358.287431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ff…5dedbacked Over43c5,292$2,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,255.272842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over45c5,117$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,310.471,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Over47c5,066$2,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.0410753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over70c5,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50011561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over32c4,962$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.5922933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under45c4,854$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,653.3644539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under29c4,845$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,433.821,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under29c4,831$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,431.841,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over59c4,433$2,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,611.11,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under29c4,392$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,097.193,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over54c4,241$2,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,271.3531545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over59c4,140$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,460.8326949.1%132 W · 137 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over30c4,129$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.8122813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Over19c4,100$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79218738%71 W · 116 L+0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Under30c4,085$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,859.1910355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under60c4,074$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.331,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c4,047$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,041.551,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under41c4,007$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.4236235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Under29c4,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.9714433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under40c3,832$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,313.942541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52e9…c2c1backed Over71c3,809$2,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,710.159840.8%40 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under32c3,771$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.3529030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over44c3,693$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.22,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under61c3,681$2,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.5551032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c3,597$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9032,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under58c3,508$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.2219946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa0…e78abacked Under38c3,453$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,128.938950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over59c3,435$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.2623427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cea…371bbacked Over41c3,390$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.836851.5%35 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa990…dc90backed Over71c3,146$2,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2234463.6%28 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under51c3,087$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.1539933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Over15c3,060$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.395543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under44c3,015$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.121,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under47c2,933$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.4934533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over70c2,848$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under52c2,736$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.6539644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over33c2,727$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.652,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over45c2,667$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2006550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked Under39c2,493$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.965339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over53c2,460$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.872,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over54c2,270$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.982,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under29c2,210$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.7227931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda89…6a2dbacked Over46c2,169$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under51c2,149$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.9433740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Under62c2,097$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.772263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d17…fa46backed Under44c2,080$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.287034.3%24 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6307…a346backed Over73c2,055$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005158.8%30 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.