Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd054bd5a96d9721f8b137370b33fa3b576af38acbf9aa9091699a715d7f88b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 55c | 966.06$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.73 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 62c | 648.79$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.79 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 27c | 637.2$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.72 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 78c | 528.36$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.75 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 59c | 517.51$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.52 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Under | 59c | 366$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.06 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 45c | 334.77$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.65 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 51c | 301.22$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.65 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 70c | 285.33$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.33 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…dd9ebacked Over | 42c | 274.88$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.45 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 69c | 272$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.13 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…63d5backed Over | 45c | 267.04$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.17 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde1e…7eb6backed Under | 69c | 244.48$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under | 60c | 232.14$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.94 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 36c | 221.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…74fcbacked Under | 58c | 210.6$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.6 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 39c | 162.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked Over | 40c | 162.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 61c | 155$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 45c | 107$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 41c | 99.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over | 37c | 94.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 24c | 80$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 45c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…ecddbacked Under | 58c | 51.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…eae1backed Under | 61c | 49.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 59c | 46.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40b…8dcbbacked Over | 42c | 42.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Under | 58c | 42.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3afd…ccc3backed Over | 49c | 39.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 58c | 32.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…0418backed Over | 43c | 29.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c3…cf5abacked Over | 78c | 25.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…9ea0backed Over | 78c | 25.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…7409backed Under | 60c | 25.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…d2d1backed Over | 79c | 19.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Colombia (-3.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Colombia (-4.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Colombia (-5.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)Colombia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.