TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Colombia vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,948
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,690

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,948 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under1c1,300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13948.5%8 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-82.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65a0…2a86backed Over78c126.92$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.928274.4%61 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under22c122.77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.013,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over77c85.96$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.588,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under22c53.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.872,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb221…a639backed Under23c52.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212520%25 W · 100 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…a42abacked Under25c51.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.696618.2%12 W · 54 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over77c45.41$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4440655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd30a…70ebbacked Over78c34.62$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.623455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85ee…6ee1backed Over70c28.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.531838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over70c26.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.911,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1abe…1ddabacked Over78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2312339%48 W · 75 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7586656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.751,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.