TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,484,375
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,341,700

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,484,375 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 980 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb61b…8a06backed Under56c381,382$212,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168,621.785959.3%35 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over44c200,001$88,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,000.4274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under56c123,000$68,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,119.9332031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under56c110,646$62,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,466.2877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over44c108,395$47,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,693.821029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over44c100,000$44,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,00017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over46c71,255$32,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,44614343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over18c70,052$12,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,454.731,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94e4…87e0backed Under57c52,524$29,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,592.015523.6%13 W · 42 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under56c50,000$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,00042345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over13c48,341$6,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,434.7759453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Under55c45,149$24,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,198.7811647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over42c42,563$17,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,976.121,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under79c39,237$31,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,072.862,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Over45c38,758$17,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,411.117550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Over45c35,730$16,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,239.965841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over44c30,857$13,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,631.51,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under55c28,941$15,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,064.222,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over44c27,820$12,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,240.722,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Over45c25,151$11,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,316.4413742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over44c25,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,0003842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over6c24,912$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.7123857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over10c24,744$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,434.4821314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under56c23,466$13,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,325.0510146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over8c23,253$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.638333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under56c20,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,799.9924058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under44c17,428$7,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,715.157431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over43c15,571$6,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,698.928,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over26c15,193$3,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,973.493,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Under56c14,286$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,285.719045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Under57c14,211$8,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,110.535442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Over45c12,960$5,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8328847.7%42 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over37c12,000$4,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,419.9921631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c11,234$6,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000.31,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over42c10,875$4,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,567.2970244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Under61c10,245$6,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,041.8149441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Under56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,40012343.1%53 W · 70 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Under58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20022846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over44c9,000$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,96027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under56c8,872$4,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,903.5928025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Over33c8,640$2,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,818.6918738%71 W · 116 L+0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ff…5dedbacked Over44c8,247$3,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,628.62842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over2c8,218$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.053,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over8c7,750$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.0934924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over11c7,637$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.934,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed Under63c7,620$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820.325541.8%23 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+105.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over37c7,162$2,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.9937944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under57c7,049$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,048.8720262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under56c6,718$3,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,930.9813543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under67c6,543$4,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,128.8230054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over16c6,161$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.214,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under72c5,921$4,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.6332656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bc3…7a59backed Over9c5,396$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.76250%0 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over17c5,285$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.332,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e58…6094backed Under57c5,263$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under56c5,000$2,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,208.3647144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Under56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20012655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Over43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.997538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Over43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.9922229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over4c4,979$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9451514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…d6c6backed Over44c4,782$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1041612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-62.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under54c4,664$2,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,144.6244130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a02…8b73backed Over45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006647%31 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under59c4,358$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.5439644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked Over45c4,351$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.075339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under71c4,220$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.1722029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Under55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80026445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.9429633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Under53c3,761$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.1516957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over44c3,660$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.42,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under35c3,577$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,327.2643737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x910d…0d1cbacked Under56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.434548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over44c3,516$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54733544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa358…1b02backed Under57c3,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under57c3,500$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5059266.3%61 W · 31 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over25c3,473$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.962,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under56c3,421$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.583,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over45c3,333$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under64c3,198$2,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.733740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Under57c3,158$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.8916637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over45c3,132$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.981,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Over44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3208337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.9548441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over9c2,999$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9438526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde45…8597backed Over34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009538.9%37 W · 58 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over45c2,914$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30030142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91af…9a27backed Over44c2,696$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.154548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x811e…ce09backed Under56c2,679$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.578035%28 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Under56c2,679$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.5720547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under79c2,674$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.665948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6745…232abacked Over44c2,613$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.455420.4%11 W · 43 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-62.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Under58c2,600$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.9919850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff8e…1438backed Over40c2,518$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.065935.6%21 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under57c2,500$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07526447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4c4…c488backed Over44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10050%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Over44c2,498$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.415152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over44c2,416$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.046061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under63c2,375$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.9413727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over10c2,356$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.5958942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over44c2,327$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02417938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.