Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82d8cb14109db63810166ce40b32af464de6c63a235216e2467c287f312f125e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Over | 8c | 38,055$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,916.34 | 282 | 24.1%68 W · 214 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 9c | 5,910$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.25 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Over | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 10c | 2,508$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.95 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 2c | 2,432$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 10c | 2,088$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.8 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Over | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 6c | 1,503$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.51 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 10c | 1,461$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.1 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 9c | 1,384$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.57 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Over | 13c | 1,359$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.92 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 9c | 1,336$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.27 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056d…3b69backed Over | 8c | 1,100$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Over | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 10c | 876.43$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…f5f0backed Over | 8c | 868.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…132fbacked Over | 10c | 514.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 221 | 35.3%78 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Over | 6c | 514.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…3e58backed Over | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 11%12 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…9d3ebacked Over | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf329…ea10backed Over | 8c | 499.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5246…cb03backed Over | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc3…10aebacked Over | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over | 11c | 242.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 17c | 240.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 9c | 239.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Over | 9c | 222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d8…9fdabacked Over | 10c | 221$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 257 | 41.6%107 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca3…2d23backed Over | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…b157backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 30.8%37 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Over | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 323 | 17.6%57 W · 266 L | -43.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 10c | 170.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 10c | 132.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…0f92backed Over | 10c | 113.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Over | 10c | 102.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 120 | 13.3%16 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…34d0backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec12…fd9dbacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 155 | 19.4%30 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…753dbacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 12c | 86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5this page
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Colombia (-3.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Colombia (-4.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Colombia (-5.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)Colombia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.