Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce9054d7f6a138f29f32e622ab13df8fe6a24b89dc07d125e6a1a7e0fd61d93b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Over | 2c | 11,037$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.78 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 4c | 10,105$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.19 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 4c | 8,584$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.91 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 4c | 3,035$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.26 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Over | 4c | 2,148$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.57 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7733…23f5backed Over | 4c | 1,238$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 4c | 1,203$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…0a0bbacked Over | 4c | 1,176$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 41 | 2.4%1 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Over | 3c | 1,174$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 96 | 22.9%22 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f67…ba88backed Over | 4c | 990$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 3c | 983.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Over | 4c | 935.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…ad06backed Over | 4c | 577.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4869…b7abbacked Over | 4c | 519.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…ce82backed Over | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 4c | 490$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 4c | 393.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 4c | 302$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Over | 4c | 294.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…9d3ebacked Over | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 64c | 121.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5this page
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Colombia (-3.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Colombia (-4.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Colombia (-5.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)Colombia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.