Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90c083f4b3bc0e9e58b2b0c11a7c981547a0bfddf4f41ced5a83f2417cd2a94a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57bc…6a3cbacked Under | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 14,938$3,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,116.24 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 18c | 9,933$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.07 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Under | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 78c | 3,568$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.57 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 75c | 3,373$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.97 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 70c | 2,494$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.57 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Over | 71c | 2,120$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.77 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 7c | 842.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 16c | 834.78$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.56 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 68c | 637.32$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.74 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 16c | 599.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 16c | 584.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.58 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 23c | 454.11$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Under | 44c | 451.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fff…89e9backed Over | 49c | 450$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb147…beedbacked Over | 56c | 360.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.25 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…f955backed Over | 70c | 353.41$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.02 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Under | 60c | 331.33$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.7 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fac…4e7dbacked Over | 58c | 327.59$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.59 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 16c | 320$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 180 | 28.3%51 W · 129 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…63f4backed Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 15c | 249.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 245 | 33.5%82 W · 163 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 11c | 216.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b0…588fbacked Over | 58c | 172.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 213 | 21.1%45 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked Over | 64c | 156.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 164 | 41.5%68 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 72c | 149$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898c…e4c3backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 66c | 111.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Under | 31c | 105.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Under | 60c | 96.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over | 69c | 93.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Over | 70c | 83.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb24…d79fbacked Over | 80c | 82.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 14c | 81.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…9f44backed Over | 63c | 79.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under | 21c | 74.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 61c | 73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…9251backed Under | 37c | 69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…5099backed Under | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 50%120 W · 120 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e8…5cd6backed Over | 59c | 64.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…8f17backed Under | 40c | 49.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 72c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7159…c63ebacked Over | 58c | 48.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…289ebacked Under | 33c | 36.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe890…94cebacked Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3639…a512backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Over | 79c | 34.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 56c | 34.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c26…1694backed Over | 61c | 32.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4615…5ccbbacked Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 51c | 25.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 465 | 62.2%289 W · 176 L | +42.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…a3b8backed Over | 70c | 22.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Over | 70c | 20.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1594…a834backed Over | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…8f39backed Over | 71c | 14.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 0.5this page
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Colombia (-3.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Colombia (-4.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Colombia (-5.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)Colombia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.