TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe8e8…5cd6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+200.8%+$352.99
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.93
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+358.3%+$137.48
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$70.43
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$98.07
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Australia to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$46.43
Egypt to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.8
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$63.04
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$19.38
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.28
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.08
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$69.39
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$34.57
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$57.45
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. Sweden: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$26.41
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athens Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$20.23
Iasi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Mayar Sherifbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.38
Kitzbuehel: Julia Grabher vs Jeline Vandrommebacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$69.3
Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$29.88
Granby: Daniil Glinka vs Philip Sekulicbacked Philip Sekulic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$58.22
Rome: Danka Kovinic vs Julia Rierabacked Julia Riera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$31.35
Swiss Open: Jerome Kym vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Bunschoten: Jan Kumstat vs Florian Broskabacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$15.75
Swedish Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.25
Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$36.51
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Zachary Svajdabacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$20.08
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Kristijan Juhas vs Vlado Jankanjbacked Vlado Jankanj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wimbledon ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Jaime Fariabacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.38
Wimbledon ATP: Gabriel Diallo vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Milan: Juan Martin vs David Jorda Sanchisbacked David Jorda Sanchis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Milan: Elmer Moeller vs Pierluigi Basilebacked Pierluigi Basile · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.98
Troyes: Luca Staeheli vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondesbacked Luca Staeheli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.97
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$23.02
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$26.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Viborg FF vs. FC København: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.34
Eyüpspor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$62.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 16?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.