Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98173b0b2c8c33289b25ad91ec78fd2583220af0c2df0ac49bc9c978be8c5f05

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,069,750
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,045,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,069,750 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Under	67c	198,277$133,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64,724.81	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Under	68c	135,355$92,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,313.71	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3535…a775backed Over	29c	85,196$24,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,395.7	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under	34c	82,709$28,094 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54,615.57	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over	77c	55,555$42,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,777.35	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f12…8140backed Over	30c	49,154$14,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,902.23	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over	2c	40,052$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$801.04	282	29.4%83 W · 199 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Under	68c	36,650$24,922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,728.07	152	49.3%75 W · 77 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	71c	32,112$22,843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,268.51	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over	49c	30,000$14,694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,693.57	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	34c	29,166$10,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,023.01	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over	34c	27,166$9,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,166.33	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	43c	25,908$11,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,160.23	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under	23c	25,484$5,861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,622.55	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	50c	23,980$12,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,933.2	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under	23c	23,883$5,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,390.1	207	31.4%65 W · 142 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	40c	21,861$8,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,752.47	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	71c	20,103$14,273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,829.92	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under	33c	19,884$6,608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,276.4	441	30.8%136 W · 305 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under	35c	19,616$6,819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,797.49	362	35.9%130 W · 232 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Over	29c	19,128$5,605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,604.68	70	34.3%24 W · 46 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under	67c	18,513$12,423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,089.72	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Over	29c	16,901$4,901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,901.4	235	40.4%95 W · 140 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	36c	16,639$5,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,954.69	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over	46c	15,748$7,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,274.37	245	33.5%82 W · 163 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a06…d694backed Over	32c	15,212$4,868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,867.77	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	30cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Over	66c	15,000$9,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,899.89	245	26.5%65 W · 180 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over	2c	14,585$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.09	347	31.1%108 W · 239 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under	25c	13,891$3,473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,418.6	122	48.4%59 W · 63 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under	70c	13,748$9,587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,161.31	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under	70c	13,049$9,173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,875.99	376	50.8%191 W · 185 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	29c	11,526$3,379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,378.85	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	29c	11,000$3,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,190	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under	72c	10,042$7,256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,785.66	229	33.6%77 W · 152 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over	2c	10,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	192	18.8%36 W · 156 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28aa…28f5backed Under	18c	10,000$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,200	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Over	33c	10,000$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over	42c	9,999$4,161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,160.52	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+94.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under	51c	9,960$5,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,880.36	108	51.9%56 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	42c	9,901$4,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,150.96	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	67c	9,626$6,479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,146.37	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under	43c	9,472$4,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,430.26	259	42.1%109 W · 150 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over	47c	8,066$3,793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,793.15	362	34%123 W · 239 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Under	26c	8,000$2,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,949.93	264	45.1%119 W · 145 L	+17.5wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	29c	7,771$2,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,249.01	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Over	32c	7,222$2,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,311	327	39.1%128 W · 199 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked Under	23c	6,600$1,549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,050.86	110	31.8%35 W · 75 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b4…213abacked Over	32c	6,250$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Under	68c	6,000$4,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,920	188	37.2%70 W · 118 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over	46c	5,882$2,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,732.87	396	44.7%177 W · 219 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over	3c	5,768$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.84	251	25.1%63 W · 188 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Over	32c	5,764$1,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,844.48	174	47.1%82 W · 92 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under	68c	5,314$3,635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,678.89	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	-18.7wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Under	71c	5,257$3,732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,524.47	50	80%40 W · 10 L	+5.8wins	+0.12per pick	68cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under	69c	5,147$3,557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,590.5	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under	55c	5,084$2,788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,296.49	158	44.3%70 W · 88 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under	65c	5,041$3,253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,787.95	208	39.4%82 W · 126 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+33%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over	31c	5,031$1,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,575.19	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e45…5b61backed Over	79c	5,019$3,965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,965.24	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Over	29c	5,000$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,450	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1e0…206dbacked Over	29c	5,000$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,450	88	26.1%23 W · 65 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	32c	4,842$1,532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,532.38	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	30c	4,489$1,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,349.48	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	30c	4,411$1,323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,323.23	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	70c	4,365$3,076 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,289.03	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over	49c	4,349$2,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,110	365	39.7%145 W · 220 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under	69c	4,345$3,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,338.29	142	38.7%55 W · 87 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Over	29c	4,207$1,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,219.94	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Under	24c	4,167$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,166.67	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+8.6wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+48.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Over	12c	4,154$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.97	399	33.1%132 W · 267 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over	17c	4,134$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.62	425	41.6%177 W · 248 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	29c	4,096$1,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,177.6	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over	29c	4,000$1,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,160	296	33.4%99 W · 197 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	31c	3,997$1,239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,239.2	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under	53c	3,983$2,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,871.95	60	61.7%37 W · 23 L	+4.7wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+30%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over	13c	3,924$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.11	178	27.5%49 W · 129 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over	31c	3,912$1,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,219.77	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	78c	3,911$3,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,032.3	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over	31c	3,871$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.99	144	45.8%66 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Under	34c	3,795$1,286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,508.8	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under	75c	3,608$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$908.23	196	49.5%97 W · 99 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	55c	3,528$1,943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,943.24	740	34.1%252 W · 488 L	-36.1wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Under	71c	3,500$2,485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,015	151	47%71 W · 80 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under	52c	3,474$1,806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,667.38	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over	54c	3,452$1,871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,870.95	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Over	49c	3,373$1,636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,636.12	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-2.7wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Under	29c	3,293$953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,340.04	147	27.2%40 W · 107 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under	76c	3,263$2,483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$779.94	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over	28c	3,246$909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$908.88	186	33.3%62 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over	29c	3,096$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897.84	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over	32c	3,049$976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975.68	329	22.5%74 W · 255 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Over	33c	3,000$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	151	28.5%43 W · 108 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under	69c	3,000$2,070 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$930	226	43.4%98 W · 128 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Under	69c	3,000$2,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920	354	46%163 W · 191 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	38c	2,995$1,148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,148.36	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under	67c	2,985$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$985.07	104	57.7%60 W · 44 L	+10.2wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba8a…b772backed Under	69c	2,899$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$898.55	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Under	69c	2,899$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$898.55	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under	70c	2,885$2,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$868.11	326	56.1%183 W · 143 L	+29.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe00…e985backed Under	71c	2,817$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$816.9	179	50.3%90 W · 89 L	+12.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5this page
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 5.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 6.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to AdvanceMexico won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Mexico won
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Mexico won
Spread: Ecuador (-3.5)Mexico won
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico won
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Mexico (-3.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Mexico (-4.5)Ecuador won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event