Spread: Mexico (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b06f977c3a7b6326caca86c50954c07d183d0f7884e15587d6b2b16badf7647

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ecuadorof Mexico, Ecuador
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $854,489
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $855,536

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $854,489 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Ecuador	75c	244,390$184,385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60,004.74	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Mexico	28c	205,977$56,865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56,864.87	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Mexico	23c	94,329$21,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,376.02	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Ecuador	62c	60,753$37,798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,954.35	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Mexico	35c	50,096$17,724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,724.34	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Mexico	26c	31,605$8,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,108.97	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Ecuador	73c	29,126$21,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,929.17	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Mexico	23c	22,190$5,104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,103.7	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Ecuador	64c	21,758$13,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,832.73	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…4fd2backed Mexico	6c	21,192$1,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,271.54	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Mexico	37c	19,468$7,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,203.2	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Ecuador	71c	16,933$12,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,912	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Mexico	37c	13,068$4,823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,823.28	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b21…a230backed Ecuador	75c	10,038$7,528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,509.47	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae00…f8f4backed Mexico	36c	10,000$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,600	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked Mexico	36c	10,000$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,600	135	54.8%74 W · 61 L	+9.2wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Mexico	6c	9,274$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Ecuador	64c	8,156$5,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,936.32	163	57.1%93 W · 70 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee39…c0fbbacked Mexico	8c	8,000$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mexico	19c	7,760$1,492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,492.36	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mexico	19c	5,253$996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995.77	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Mexico	24c	5,102$1,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,234.64	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Mexico	6c	5,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	246	35.8%88 W · 158 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Ecuador	60c	5,000$3,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,976	151	47%71 W · 80 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mexico	32c	4,059$1,279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,279.01	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Ecuador	65c	3,894$2,528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,365.67	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked Mexico	8c	3,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Mexico	30c	2,818$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Mexico	6c	2,464$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.22	388	19.1%74 W · 314 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Mexico	6c	2,365$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.32	190	20.5%39 W · 151 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Mexico	5c	2,043$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.16	165	46.1%76 W · 89 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Mexico	16c	1,938$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.79	216	41.7%90 W · 126 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Mexico	12c	1,921$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.7	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Ecuador	79c	1,870$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.99	229	33.6%77 W · 152 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Mexico	9c	1,729$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.47	290	30.7%89 W · 201 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Mexico	12c	1,554$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.64	258	21.3%55 W · 203 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Ecuador	64c	1,551$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550.97	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Ecuador	65c	1,538$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$538.47	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Mexico	12c	1,536$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.4	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Ecuador	63c	1,517$958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.47	142	50%71 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked Mexico	35c	1,500$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525	110	31.8%35 W · 75 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Mexico	20c	1,500$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.27	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8aaa…51dfbacked Mexico	14c	1,500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.94	61	29.5%18 W · 43 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Mexico	5c	1,487$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.35	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Ecuador	69c	1,469$1,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$455.9	78	65.4%51 W · 27 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b91…edd9backed Mexico	36c	1,389$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Ecuador	65c	1,383$899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$483.95	82	43.9%36 W · 46 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Ecuador	67c	1,340$896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.93	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda2b…9adcbacked Mexico	6c	1,333$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Mexico	16c	1,277$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.74	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Ecuador	60c	1,202$722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.36	589	42.6%251 W · 338 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Mexico	6c	1,200$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	143	17.5%25 W · 118 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ecuador	60c	1,113$668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.85	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Mexico	2c	1,083$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Ecuador	60c	1,048$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.01	270	34.4%93 W · 177 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f17…b55dbacked Mexico	36c	1,035$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.6	121	45.5%55 W · 66 L	+9.0wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Ecuador	72c	1,030$738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.31	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Mexico	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	285	26.3%75 W · 210 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Mexico	5c	999.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	204	48%98 W · 106 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Mexico	6c	987$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.74	226	34.1%77 W · 149 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Mexico	13c	973.92$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.02	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Mexico	5c	953$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.33	257	19.1%49 W · 208 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Mexico	5c	892.44$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.62	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Ecuador	62c	874.45$538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.99	187	65.2%122 W · 65 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22c8…7a54backed Mexico	41c	861.15$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.07	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Mexico	25c	800$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Mexico	5c	800$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a28…8962backed Mexico	40c	750.35$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	121	39.7%48 W · 73 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Mexico	31c	750$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.5	586	42.8%251 W · 335 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ddc…e1aabacked Mexico	27c	746.44$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Ecuador	63c	722.27$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.63	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Mexico	35c	720.25$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.65	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Ecuador	73c	717.61$523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.5	202	53.5%108 W · 94 L	+12.5wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b71…f840backed Mexico	38c	700$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266	128	29.7%38 W · 90 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Mexico	7c	694.86$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.64	431	39%168 W · 263 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f2…ca6abacked Mexico	22c	674.07$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Mexico	38c	657.87$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.99	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca02…76d3backed Ecuador	64c	619$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.64	78	35.9%28 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Ecuador	76c	605.57$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.55	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Ecuador	63c	592.17$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.69	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Mexico	8c	585$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.8	275	43.6%120 W · 155 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Mexico	28c	559.97$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.63	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Mexico	35c	558.19$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.11	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Ecuador	62c	542.33$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.93	345	40.3%139 W · 206 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Ecuador	64c	520$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.2	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ea0…68b1backed Mexico	6c	505.31$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.05	84	25%21 W · 63 L	-5.9wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Mexico	34c	504.11$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.91	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97d3…1c30backed Mexico	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-54%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Mexico	7c	499.98$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Mexico	34c	497.41$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.84	282	51.4%145 W · 137 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Ecuador	74c	484.11$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.58	248	49.6%123 W · 125 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Ecuador	71c	481.24$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.94	719	39.1%281 W · 438 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Ecuador	64c	442.6$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.12	1,141	46.2%527 W · 614 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Mexico	26c	442.59$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.06	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Ecuador	70c	400$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Ecuador	60c	400$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.18	139	36%50 W · 89 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Ecuador	73c	369.08$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.55	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Ecuador	64c	360.63$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.07	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Mexico	31c	360.11$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.11	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Ecuador	69c	343.19$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.39	203	33.5%68 W · 135 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Mexico (-2.5)this page
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 5.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 6.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to AdvanceMexico won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Mexico won
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Mexico won
Spread: Ecuador (-3.5)Mexico won
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico won
Spread: Mexico (-3.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Mexico (-4.5)Ecuador won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Mexico (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event