Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9051d58da4c7a1220a032545033445a81757ddecfcdf510e2ea435145926bfed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 15c | 5,699$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.56 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 12c | 5,378$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.39 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 12c | 4,270$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.8 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,550$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.01 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…c2f8backed Yes | 16c | 1,273$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,147$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…d362backed Yes | 12c | 1,025$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 12c | 865.63$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 12c | 728.87$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 13c | 675.3$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…068fbacked Yes | 15c | 526.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf044…c604backed Yes | 14c | 469.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…930fbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 37.2%67 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…43ddbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 13c | 346.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…6bdebacked Yes | 8c | 341.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 10c | 334.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 317.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…132fbacked Yes | 14c | 315$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 221 | 35.3%78 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…5ec8backed Yes | 12c | 308.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 11c | 278$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4e…bc71backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2014…54ecbacked Yes | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b14…8d5ebacked Yes | 11c | 182.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…b000backed Yes | 12c | 175$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…3bcebacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7506…1d0ebacked Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…35d0backed Yes | 16c | 127.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…5ee8backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 24c | 119$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe369…0515backed Yes | 12c | 116.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…b36cbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…69e2backed Yes | 13c | 95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099e…b3c1backed Yes | 17c | 94.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 14c | 92.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 29c | 72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 19c | 72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc117…78b7backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 71c | 40.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 5.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 6.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to AdvanceMexico won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Ecuador (-3.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Mexico (-3.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Mexico (-4.5)Ecuador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.