TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,314
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,310

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,314 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under40c524.48$210 inWon+$31458049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over38c380.64$145 inLost-$145.238,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under50c307.41$154 inWon+$153.713,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ec…a234backed Over59c169.49$100 inLost-$1006636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c79…6746backed Over61c90.33$55 inLost-$555959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb4…45d4backed Over59c84.75$50 inLost-$5015461%94 W · 60 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3751…2ec4backed Over61c81.97$50 inLost-$501838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+59%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under79c76.34$60 inWon+$16.3463745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over21c67$14 inLost-$14.3722634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebed…3528backed Over61c41.26$25 inLost-$258349.4%41 W · 42 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeff4…88d2backed Over61c32.79$20 inLost-$203873.7%28 W · 10 L+0.2wins0.00per pick73cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…f22ebacked Over59c30.51$18 inLost-$182240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c10…f135backed Over50c24$12 inLost-$121936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e75…a4dbbacked Under71c16.91$12 inWon+$4.872272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.