TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$195,632
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,234

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,632 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over19c14,636$2,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,866.24,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over21c12,303$2,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,677.418723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over19c7,617$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,199.133,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over38c6,001$2,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,728.124533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under79c5,434$4,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,311.242,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over22c4,545$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,545.4537223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Over22c4,445$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,445.3513043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under78c4,106$3,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,219.171,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under80c3,540$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,831.6870244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb25…f7f3backed Under2c3,333$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.678615.1%13 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Over20c3,249$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,598.927153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over27c2,878$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.962,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca02…76d3backed Over19c2,713$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,197.77835.9%28 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under79c2,048$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.81,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under78c1,820$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.625857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under61c1,675$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.0914544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over40c1,575$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.9621641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over20c1,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under79c1,411$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.592,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under2c1,400$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.42,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc16…3abdbacked Over43c1,395$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.354100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Over39c1,262$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.7710537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over20c1,251$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.592,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under79c1,127$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.013,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Over19c1,053$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.6334537.1%128 W · 217 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Over20c1,050$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8406139.3%24 W · 37 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under80c1,026$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.868,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ec…aa22backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20523.8%2 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107236.1%26 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+152%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over21c952.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.3815143%65 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under79c904.65$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.323,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under63c829.86$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.8136250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over18c820.93$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.184,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under2c750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514238.7%55 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…6a32backed Over18c705.97$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.971850%9 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+114.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Over40c668.33$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.3317534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Under5c624.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014526.2%38 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over39c600$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36629138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over38c589.33$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.371,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under78c537.07$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.992,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over37c516.61$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.891,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Under63c508.39$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.253629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.1915034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea7…9d9abacked Over21c470$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.322730.4%69 W · 158 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over35c456.02$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.631,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over41c447.14$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.8987237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over20c400$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32036024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under3c400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10952.1%2 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under63c396.82$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25019649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over21c380.95$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.9527742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over20c363.08$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.911,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over25c347.94$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.882,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over40c343$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.2236234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over38c328.86$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.481,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under5c324$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4173536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Under63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Under61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18314856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over18c300$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24622634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under79c300$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23767354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under57c297$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6144130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x285a…3326backed Under79c290.63$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.67852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Over21c261.9$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.917240.7%70 W · 102 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2543737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under36c248.86$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.32,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under6c221.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4772247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Over18c214.67$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.036836.8%25 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over19c201.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.351,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over22c200.91$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7122135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12828164.1%180 W · 101 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over75c195.19$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2759453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under79c181.32$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3848937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under15c176$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.292,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under58c172$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7614450.7%73 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2055…2a7abacked Under62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008850%44 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under60c156$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.61,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over31c154.34$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.554,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under27c143.19$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6680225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under79c140.06$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0542332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under79c137$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.423,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over20c130$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.141,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…47d8backed Under60c127.44$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4610942.2%46 W · 63 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Under80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Over37c125$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7521143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over20c120$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.41,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9955…e803backed Under62c117.16$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.074839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Over40c115.03$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0243246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x533b…0a9ebacked Over22c110$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.823227.6%64 W · 168 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over37c101.66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.82,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfecb…4c05backed Over22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788845.5%40 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579352.7%49 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over17c91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.531,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over64c87.76$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3566846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Under33c84.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9612528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Over25c79.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6124843.1%107 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over18c78.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.61,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under60c71.03$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6225049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under79c67.05$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0942853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over21c65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.112,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.