Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab8f09a8e58f1846dcad5c3482ad9bb2b15d6ffe07fb653295020f556725e253
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed No | 79c | 9,906$7,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.09 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 20c | 5,141$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.86 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes | 17c | 3,077$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.02 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 19c | 2,616$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.29 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed No | 80c | 2,515$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.93 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 2,232$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.94 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 69c | 2,210$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.11 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,613$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.5 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed No | 77c | 1,356$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.84 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 32c | 937.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…d62cbacked No | 77c | 767.82$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.6 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 78c | 737.18$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.19 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5c…f3e7backed Yes | 31c | 652.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked No | 78c | 650$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 20c | 635$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 19c | 544.37$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d3…c92fbacked No | 77c | 541$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.61 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 77c | 536.9$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.91 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 16c | 455.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 21c | 366.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3c…d9b0backed Yes | 24c | 349.7$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.52 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 22c | 243$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 20c | 237.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 73c | 196.14$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…92b5backed Yes | 17c | 182.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed No | 80c | 146.56$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 22c | 134.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…a292backed Yes | 31c | 109.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 73c | 106.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8473…8f23backed Yes | 30c | 102.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 21c | 92.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…35d0backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…9e15backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 33c | 85.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 76c | 82.61$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…e6c9backed No | 76c | 70.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc117…78b7backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 80c | 64.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe369…0515backed Yes | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 20c | 59.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked No | 77c | 59.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37d…dd3dbacked Yes | 22c | 51.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2e…80dabacked Yes | 25c | 50.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Yes | 30c | 50.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 25c | 44.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 270 | 51.9%140 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…6bdebacked No | 76c | 19.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…de8bbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfthis page
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 5.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 6.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to AdvanceMexico won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Ecuador (-3.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Mexico (-3.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Mexico (-4.5)Ecuador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.