TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Mexico (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Ecuadorof Mexico, Ecuador
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$358,997
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$360,799

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,997 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Mexico10c236,082$23,591 inLost-$23,590.582,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Mexico12c50,000$6,000 inLost-$6,00018740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Mexico15c6,680$1,000 inLost-$1,00012536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Mexico10c4,972$482 inLost-$482.432,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Mexico12c4,164$489 inLost-$489.3673536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Mexico11c3,911$448 inLost-$448.031,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Mexico12c3,396$393 inLost-$393.441,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Mexico11c3,082$353 inLost-$353.1587237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Mexico11c2,674$306 inLost-$305.621,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Mexico11c1,774$201 inLost-$200.81,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked Mexico7c1,648$119 inLost-$119.096819.1%13 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-52.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Mexico2c1,386$23 inLost-$22.832,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Mexico12c947.26$116 inLost-$116.285550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ddc…e1aabacked Mexico14c724.1$100 inLost-$10011811.9%14 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Mexico11c526$58 inLost-$57.5365036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…0968backed Mexico11c458.72$50 inLost-$503935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Mexico7c447.21$32 inLost-$3233221.7%72 W · 260 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Mexico14c400.85$56 inLost-$56.1215418.8%29 W · 125 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcda7…d089backed Mexico8c344.91$27 inLost-$27.1348.8%3 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-52.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8585…eef1backed Mexico14c285.71$40 inLost-$404146.3%19 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Mexico13c243$31 inLost-$30.9515252.6%80 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03d8…05f9backed Mexico5c220$12 inLost-$11.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a96…b71dbacked Mexico14c171.43$24 inLost-$243148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Mexico13c159.46$21 inLost-$20.61,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfbc…74ffbacked Mexico13c153.85$20 inLost-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad1…35d0backed Mexico13c115.78$15 inLost-$15478.5%4 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff38…738dbacked Mexico10c100$10 inLost-$1011441.2%47 W · 67 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Mexico11c100$11 inLost-$11.3117248.3%83 W · 89 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.