TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$862,267
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$871,117

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $862,267 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 444 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over40c188,888$76,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,410.7442345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under68c178,129$121,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,663.314,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under60c88,178$52,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,439.8174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Over37c73,401$27,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,288.476152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over25c36,701$9,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,329.3524533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under59c25,980$15,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,729.413448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under59c22,432$13,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,271.8528229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over32c18,009$5,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,702.652,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under62c17,863$11,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,721.3944539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over12c11,385$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.4451514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Under67c11,343$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,743.2814727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00012254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over21c8,858$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.368,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Under60c8,400$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.8215456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Over13c7,803$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.397034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Under53c7,525$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,525.325959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over13c6,476$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.8474447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over20c6,033$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.5238333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under61c5,778$3,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226.762,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over14c5,632$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.411,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over48c5,555$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.432029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under59c5,507$3,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,248.3877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over22c5,496$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.734,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd7…89aabacked Under58c5,354$3,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.753568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Over13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6505538.2%21 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over49c4,119$2,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,018.1222437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over36c4,068$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.3837944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under58c3,624$2,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.7417550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under64c3,597$2,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.3437650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under53c3,407$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.9433740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked Under52c3,388$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.195166.7%34 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over14c3,150$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44160511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Under60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20013223.5%31 W · 101 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39029633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over40c2,963$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9921641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Over30c2,891$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.9817534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over25c2,641$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.061,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over13c2,636$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.3647032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Under71c2,609$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.636352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under73c2,412$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.191,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under65c2,276$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.1166846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8781…9c2fbacked Over13c2,230$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.92445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under74c2,122$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.9634845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over18c2,067$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.6131545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Under73c2,063$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.3921958.9%129 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8206061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe10f…e4aebacked Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98014454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under79c1,995$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.822,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Under60c1,942$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.6716953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Under60c1,808$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.1826445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over25c1,761$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.712,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9806…0367backed Under60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.675448.1%26 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over41c1,637$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.0410051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over52c1,576$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.8863544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under57c1,572$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.0358942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under51c1,501$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.812,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6352…6726backed Under69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.286448.4%31 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Over49c1,429$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70033641.7%140 W · 196 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over13c1,317$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.211,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked Under77c1,306$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.293458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over51c1,303$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.5973536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over16c1,276$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.11,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under74c1,265$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.216150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over14c1,250$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.373,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over30c1,233$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.922,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Under59c1,200$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4924544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under64c1,101$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.131,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18f3…b4e9backed Over18c1,088$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under70c1,078$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.7519649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ad9…7e66backed Over50c1,062$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.777631.6%24 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b26…e947backed Over49c1,019$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.241050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Under67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.078048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over14c999.27$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.213,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under60c997.82$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.4184751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Over15c970.2$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5312117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over35c955.23$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.691,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over42c952.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under53c947.63$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.6327951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a8…dcb4backed Under59c943.62$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.139556.8%54 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over46c922.12$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.181,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Over49c900$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44110748.6%52 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e98…1583backed Over12c899.97$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1088349.4%41 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over30c879.65$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.032,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under69c872.48$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.4925049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Under50c846.14$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.7417650%88 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over13c827.03$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.241,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over38c819.66$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.0536234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb267…5f55backed Over47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3764330.2%13 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed Over13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012241%50 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ff…479fbacked Over50c759.22$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.612152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over50c743.89$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.21,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over15c740$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11117938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over48c729.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509845.9%45 W · 53 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under78c726.09$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.6429450%147 W · 147 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.645955.9%33 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under64c710.09$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.4488852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x280e…b409backed Over15c673.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10112818%23 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.