Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x441073d8762b5e288adb7bfa54c7503d76d388dc0511f7d3e2e4f8a131bdfa00

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Mexicoof Mexico, Ecuador
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,033,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,087,286

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,033,069 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 453 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Ecuador	80c	316,873$251,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251,929.99	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Mexico	31c	282,608$86,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196,137.59	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ecuador	76c	198,874$150,812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150,812.25	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Mexico	19c	102,524$19,428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83,095.9	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Mexico	31c	98,732$31,082 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67,650.23	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Mexico	19c	91,203$17,328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73,874.03	213	43.2%92 W · 121 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mexico	20c	70,696$14,441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56,254.62	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Mexico	19c	59,317$11,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48,046.77	210	29%61 W · 149 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Ecuador	79c	52,920$42,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,032.58	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Mexico	20c	44,303$9,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,303.32	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Ecuador	27c	33,184$8,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,959.57	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Mexico	20c	30,000$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,999.92	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Mexico	23c	28,682$6,508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,174.42	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Ecuador	25c	24,400$6,165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,165.27	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb715…c3bbbacked Mexico	20c	24,300$4,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,439.92	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Ecuador	36c	20,380$7,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,295.13	258	21.3%55 W · 203 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Mexico	37c	18,173$6,667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,505.97	148	29.7%44 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Ecuador	79c	17,906$14,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,145.91	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Ecuador	11c	17,459$1,886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,885.89	437	37.8%165 W · 272 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Mexico	18c	16,700$3,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,674.26	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Ecuador	60c	14,791$8,878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,878.19	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mexico	75c	14,492$10,872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,620.16	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Mexico	17c	12,458$2,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,339.93	204	48%98 W · 106 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Mexico	19c	10,000$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,100	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Ecuador	80c	9,810$7,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,827.62	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ecuador	77c	8,850$6,814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,814.34	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Mexico	19c	8,340$1,585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,755.5	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Mexico	18c	7,296$1,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,997.16	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a79…b1a8backed Ecuador	28c	7,143$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	77	29.9%23 W · 54 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-32%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Mexico	20c	6,666$1,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,332.8	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Mexico	19c	6,607$1,274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,332.99	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Ecuador	73c	6,580$4,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,777.01	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Mexico	18c	6,408$1,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,248.28	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Mexico	18c	6,117$1,101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,015.69	390	39%152 W · 238 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Ecuador	24c	6,026$1,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,443.6	290	30.7%89 W · 201 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Mexico	18c	5,333$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,373.33	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Ecuador	28c	5,296$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.99	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Ecuador	77c	5,209$4,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,008.05	740	34.1%252 W · 488 L	-36.1wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Mexico	79c	5,119$4,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,063.49	185	43.8%81 W · 104 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Ecuador	25c	5,076$1,276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,276.29	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Mexico	18c	5,031$906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,125.19	246	35.8%88 W · 158 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Mexico	18c	5,000$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,100	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Ecuador	28c	4,444$1,244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,244.32	190	38.9%74 W · 116 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x202d…c3b1backed Mexico	20c	4,411$873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,537.68	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Ecuador	46c	4,326$1,981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,980.52	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa61f…2500backed Mexico	20c	4,171$834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,336.8	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-51%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Ecuador	80c	4,059$3,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,242.11	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Ecuador	80c	4,000$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,200	116	57.8%67 W · 49 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Mexico	18c	4,000$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,299.99	103	35%36 W · 67 L	-9.6wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Mexico	18c	3,930$707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,222.6	88	47.7%42 W · 46 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Mexico	30c	3,849$1,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,693.77	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Mexico	18c	3,777$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,097.13	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x132f…453bbacked Mexico	18c	3,670$661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,009.26	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Ecuador	61c	3,634$2,216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,216.49	161	52.2%84 W · 77 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Mexico	69c	3,540$2,448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,091.87	180	56.1%101 W · 79 L	+14.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Ecuador	6c	3,157$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.56	186	28.5%53 W · 133 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Mexico	69c	3,118$2,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$973.15	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Mexico	66c	3,017$1,976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.92	208	56.7%118 W · 90 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe10f…e4aebacked Mexico	69c	3,000$2,070 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$930	144	54.2%78 W · 66 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e51…c6aabacked Mexico	74c	2,860$2,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$743.53	123	41.5%51 W · 72 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Mexico	18c	2,788$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,286.17	527	44.4%234 W · 293 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Mexico	38c	2,762$1,053 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,708.69	202	53.5%108 W · 94 L	+12.5wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Ecuador	54c	2,656$1,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,421.16	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Mexico	19c	2,632$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,131.58	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Ecuador	62c	2,561$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	282	51.4%145 W · 137 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Mexico	77c	2,549$1,963 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$586.27	927	32.1%298 W · 629 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Mexico	20c	2,500$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	+6.1wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Ecuador	15c	2,446$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.38	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x621e…923bbacked Ecuador	31c	2,426$749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$748.55	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.21per pick	49cpaid	-34%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Ecuador	21c	2,303$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.69	136	23.5%32 W · 104 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-22%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Ecuador	29c	2,276$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	163	42.9%70 W · 93 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd864…497ebacked Mexico	19c	2,245$426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,818.15	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.15per pick	25cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ecuador	75c	2,085$1,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,565.88	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Mexico	23c	2,067$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,586	270	34.4%93 W · 177 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Mexico	51c	2,022$1,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$996.98	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x97d1…6516backed Mexico	71c	2,000$1,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$580	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+3.9wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Mexico	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	419	68.3%286 W · 133 L	+65.4wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Ecuador	29c	2,000$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590	151	47%71 W · 80 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Mexico	17c	2,000$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,659.95	331	49.5%164 W · 167 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Ecuador	3c	1,893$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.03	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Mexico	31c	1,848$564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,283.44	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Ecuador	76c	1,837$1,391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,390.91	161	50.9%82 W · 79 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d17…5297backed Mexico	20c	1,800$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,440	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	+96.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mexico	41c	1,682$683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.17	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Mexico	28c	1,657$458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,199.16	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Mexico	22c	1,648$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,292.77	226	34.1%77 W · 149 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Ecuador	77c	1,607$1,239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,239	84	59.5%50 W · 34 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Mexico	41c	1,603$664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$939.19	349	64.5%225 W · 124 L	+73.5wins	+0.21per pick	43cpaid	+123.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0xa6da…fb9abacked Mexico	19c	1,579$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,278.95	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+6.0wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed Mexico	19c	1,570$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,274.43	95	25.3%24 W · 71 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d19…2410backed Ecuador	32c	1,563$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked Mexico	19c	1,527$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,236.53	140	35.7%50 W · 90 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb72b…989abacked Mexico	18c	1,500$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,229.79	104	56.7%59 W · 45 L	+6.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfea5…2b1cbacked Mexico	21c	1,429$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,128.57	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Ecuador	50c	1,359$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.3	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed Mexico	19c	1,355$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,098.26	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Mexico	19c	1,347$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,090.94	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Mexico	38c	1,287$489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$798.06	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Mexico	21c	1,212$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$962.71	143	17.5%25 W · 118 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Ecuador	8c	1,160$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.57	341	22.3%76 W · 265 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)this page
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 5.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 6.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to AdvanceMexico won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Mexico won
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Mexico won
Spread: Ecuador (-3.5)Mexico won
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Mexico (-3.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Mexico (-4.5)Ecuador won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event