Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadcee257d882f16dbd376bedc5c4dd3cf593059420dc4d55890bbfeafcb05622
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3d3…804bbacked Over | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 29c | 634.92$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.1 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 78c | 557.39$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.46 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 79c | 510$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.9 | 524 | 55%288 W · 236 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 70c | 509.16$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.35 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 30c | 383.55$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.36 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 40c | 375.5$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.37 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 74c | 350.87$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.81 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8f…5600backed Over | 55c | 336.74$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…f719backed Over | 69c | 288.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 73c | 286$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.01 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 53c | 281.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 30c | 261.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.66 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 18c | 236.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.17 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 29c | 218.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…65ccbacked Over | 21c | 199.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 30c | 192.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 70c | 187$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 57c | 184.01$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780d…d20cbacked Over | 75c | 164.71$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 21c | 160.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.11 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 76c | 158$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed Under | 23c | 149.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5c…f3e7backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 31c | 129.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 31c | 107.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 111 | 70.3%78 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 31c | 92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…4e66backed Over | 69c | 89.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…a3b8backed Over | 77c | 65.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 20c | 65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe799…6e19backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70bd…3ecfbacked Under | 44c | 61.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 162 | 30.2%49 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 40c | 41.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x072e…ca60backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -7.2wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7272backed Over | 70c | 35.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 215 | 57.7%124 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ed…9d50backed Over | 46c | 28.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 67c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 0.5this page
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 5.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 6.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to AdvanceMexico won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Ecuador (-3.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Mexico (-3.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Mexico (-4.5)Ecuador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.