TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$925,626
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$919,978

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $925,626 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 986 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No60c173,956$104,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,973.454,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No59c119,190$70,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,857.0520955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes42c73,937$31,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,064.328,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes41c50,000$20,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,547.442,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes41c45,782$18,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,763.121,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes41c28,827$11,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,790.327140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f16…bbd9backed Yes42c28,488$11,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,9651258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c22,158$13,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,039.263,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No60c20,218$12,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,089.273,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Yes41c20,000$8,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,20013151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed Yes41c18,920$7,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,706.128440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes39c18,187$7,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,085.892,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No58c17,763$10,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,440.5240655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No55c17,388$9,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,821.8525844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…9a67backed Yes52c14,183$7,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,375.171942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes41c13,994$5,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,737.541,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No60c12,536$7,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,015.256541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No56c11,709$6,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,107.764,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed Yes42c11,227$4,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,714.813240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes41c10,460$4,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,288.62,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Yes40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.9912536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed No58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.9838026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.929646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed No59c9,090$5,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,772.3513259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200e…38b3backed No52c8,482$4,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,062.462437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked No53c8,395$4,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,956.6423353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes39c7,623$2,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,996.0217544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes40c7,509$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No58c7,222$4,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,024.551,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e47…34a2backed Yes41c6,759$2,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,770.997342.5%31 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Yes50c6,753$3,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,383.3620646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No58c6,715$3,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,809.511,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f8…64c9backed Yes46c6,498$2,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,989.0723224.1%56 W · 176 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe34a…f5f0backed Yes49c6,272$3,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,064.289848%47 W · 51 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No59c5,957$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,457.451,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No58c5,542$3,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,309.592,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b4…213abacked Yes42c4,762$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+44.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa04c…9e3fbacked Yes43c4,661$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e45…5b61backed Yes54c4,660$2,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,502.016154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6567…c807backed No61c4,659$2,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.5511942%50 W · 69 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed No44c4,496$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,496.1716953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes40c4,374$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.9612634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No58c4,310$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.1871638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No55c4,136$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.061,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes56c3,975$2,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,210.7649441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed No79c3,801$3,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.8644130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a9e…0dfcbacked Yes42c3,571$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.998341%34 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked No51c3,333$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.1418543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28aa…28f5backed Yes5c3,286$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.314531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No40c3,227$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.21,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26019150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked Yes23c3,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.999324.7%23 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes41c2,924$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.8479231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bb0…5c0cbacked No52c2,913$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.182128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-45.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No58c2,869$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.382,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Yes40c2,630$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05215044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes21c2,609$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.1836234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked No50c2,530$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2655846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff4…7ebbbacked Yes40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9933235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a7…c0dfbacked Yes41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016549.1%81 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29bb…3aa6backed Yes41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008235.4%29 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Yes41c2,400$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9841560%9 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Yes42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52be…f772backed Yes47c2,356$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.941546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d54…6ce7backed Yes41c2,261$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.124551.1%23 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Yes38c2,222$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.3619020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed No51c2,200$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.9912241%50 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb63…f6a4backed Yes42c2,145$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.045334%18 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes38c2,043$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.074,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked No58c2,014$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.086450%32 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dab…55dabacked Yes41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8203135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked No58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.985549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Yes38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9813349.6%66 W · 67 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Yes26c1,945$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.1737944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes14c1,935$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.8819038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed No52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.087146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes42c1,905$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5b…7796backed Yes49c1,905$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.214337.2%16 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Yes42c1,800$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7568948.3%43 W · 46 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb66e…47c5backed Yes48c1,793$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.5913750.4%69 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed No59c1,725$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.2379149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f1…b052backed Yes41c1,707$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70015930.2%48 W · 111 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No58c1,700$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.347648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f79…9290backed No59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.9210541.9%44 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Yes36c1,654$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee12…aaeabacked Yes49c1,563$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dae…fff9backed Yes42c1,490$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6266631.8%21 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a54…7c49backed Yes42c1,436$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.34930.6%15 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No58c1,405$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.6758942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a1…8e53backed Yes42c1,394$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.683756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Yes42c1,350$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.168156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes43c1,315$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.131,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed No69c1,311$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.731,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbfc…b095backed Yes40c1,307$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.883158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4b6…a582backed Yes57c1,296$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.548461.9%52 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No58c1,293$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.143635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.