TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$241,081
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$266,859

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,081 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb272…5030backed Under51c15,000$7,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,324.9421937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Under44c12,500$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,00010840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over54c9,222$4,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,987.4719038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over27c7,799$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.5723427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under45c7,743$3,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,282.232,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under52c7,720$4,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,683.32,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Under45c5,600$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,079.988139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c5,539$2,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,755.318,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under45c4,632$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,547.5445038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under46c3,922$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.8516357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over55c3,084$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.832,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under45c3,050$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.6812248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over33c3,033$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.322,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked Under46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6208057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over37c2,406$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.772,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c2,206$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.824,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under46c2,200$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1881931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Under45c2,108$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.8716953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over55c1,950$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.4777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over55c1,924$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.983,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under45c1,913$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.8211558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over55c1,793$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.8422951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53d3…9509backed Over55c1,785$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over56c1,771$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.8418051.1%92 W · 88 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over55c1,563$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.644,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over56c1,429$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under46c1,305$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.621,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c1,292$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.982,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over57c1,209$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.128652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under45c1,194$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.782,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Under45c1,135$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.7911642.2%49 W · 67 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Under47c1,054$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.7319436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b71…c33ebacked Over57c1,023$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5783831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-42.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Over16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Over56c999.99$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.991936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76aa…58cebacked Over52c955.79$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009760.8%59 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over55c903.07$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.4745145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over49c856.86$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.014,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Over52c850$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44219750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b12…a6cebacked Over56c783.28$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4354936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Under47c746.11$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.127950.6%40 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c738.64$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.522,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under44c733$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.482,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Over55c714.44$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.1522449.1%110 W · 114 L+20.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Under44c711.96$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.710359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8443…2988backed Over17c670.59$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1149331.2%29 W · 64 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Under45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.678254.9%45 W · 37 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over55c648.14$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.4870648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f7…610abacked Over56c620.5$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.836434.4%22 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdee9…9bccbacked Over5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011538.3%44 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Under44c573.4$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.116634.8%23 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Under48c528$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.567259.7%43 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Over57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over55c525.01$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.023,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Over18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907250%36 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Over26c499.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13014231%44 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Under46c499.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9913948.2%67 W · 72 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a8…140fbacked Over56c496.59$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.093855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under75c494.98$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7414232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over58c492.29$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.4310330.1%31 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over50c492.23$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.061,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under49c486.66$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.771,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over56c486.23$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.2995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe04…1481backed Over33c463.64$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under44c452.03$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.353,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over50c450$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.8873536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b0d…07acbacked Over18c437.82$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over49c420$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.858049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Over55c407.14$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22517736.7%65 W · 112 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ad9…7e66backed Under44c400.65$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.217631.6%24 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Over56c398.9$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3817659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6add…6992backed Under48c391.67$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.674254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Over55c378.74$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.318858%51 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over48c364.79$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4922634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Over52c364.78$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1886633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a51…ce14backed Over57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006940.6%28 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under44c344.73$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.53,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f17…fd2ebacked Over49c336.73$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652055%11 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+54.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Over9c333.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Under46c328.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.0232733%108 W · 219 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over56c317.16$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.611,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed Under62c314.52$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5214534.5%50 W · 95 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over56c304.63$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.1842853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over56c301.03$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.491,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Under67c298.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7213933.1%46 W · 93 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over55c291.79$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.5382537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over25c275$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7516725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over55c270$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.743145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed Under46c260.87$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8715440.3%62 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd36…873bbacked Over39c253.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005251.9%27 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1497…4414backed Over4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021820.2%44 W · 174 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over48c246.46$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.921,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b61…230ebacked Under45c224.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4315936.5%58 W · 101 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over36c224.41$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.961,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Over56c220$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.212724.4%31 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Over55c219.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3925251.2%129 W · 123 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Over42c211.05$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1713943.9%61 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.