Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeebaa583402170c5ed255445b525855b58ba7c8fdb587e3fde0708ebf37432b8

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Mexicoof Mexico, Ecuador
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,289,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,473,511

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,289,214 — the venue’s figure.

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Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Mexico	63c	1,517,842$955,419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562,423.14	91	42.9%39 W · 52 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Ecuador	37c	1,044,475$385,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385,455.85	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Ecuador	37c	526,887$193,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193,271.9	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Mexico	63c	480,000$302,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177,600	74	33.8%25 W · 49 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-40%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Ecuador	37c	400,000$148,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148,000	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Ecuador	37c	392,128$145,297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145,297.26	565	41.1%232 W · 333 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Mexico	64c	243,745$155,919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87,825.4	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Mexico	63c	237,270$149,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87,789.74	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+4.6wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Ecuador	37c	206,466$77,204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77,203.91	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Mexico	63c	150,000$94,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55,499.92	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Ecuador	37c	150,000$55,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55,499.82	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked Ecuador	37c	127,030$47,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,001.09	99	48.5%48 W · 51 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Ecuador	33c	81,160$27,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,006.56	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Ecuador	36c	80,035$28,833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,832.55	141	39%55 W · 86 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Mexico	63c	79,365$50,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,365.08	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc57f…c909backed Ecuador	37c	78,000$28,860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,860.07	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+3.9wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Ecuador	5c	76,869$3,644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,644.13	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Mexico	70c	70,000$49,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,999.99	178	40.4%72 W · 106 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed Ecuador	37c	68,665$25,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,405.89	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Ecuador	4c	58,846$2,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,454.59	147	15.6%23 W · 124 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ecuador	37c	56,451$20,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,887.01	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Ecuador	32c	52,000$16,856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,855.97	221	39.8%88 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b06…7cdfbacked Mexico	69c	51,926$35,829 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,097.13	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Mexico	63c	50,000$31,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,500	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e1…34a5backed Ecuador	38c	46,869$17,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,810.31	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Ecuador	37c	43,089$15,943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,942.83	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Mexico	63c	42,751$26,930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,821.57	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc48…24c3backed Ecuador	30c	37,000$11,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,024.98	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Ecuador	32c	34,679$10,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,966.59	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7650…fac1backed Mexico	64c	31,250$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,250	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Ecuador	37c	30,178$11,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,042.66	299	52.5%157 W · 142 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Mexico	63c	30,000$18,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,100	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Ecuador	33c	30,000$9,982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,981.73	213	33.3%71 W · 142 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Ecuador	36c	30,000$10,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,799.9	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Ecuador	23c	28,882$6,636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,636.17	348	45.1%157 W · 191 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Ecuador	37c	25,000$9,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,250.15	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa61f…2500backed Mexico	64c	25,000$16,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,000	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-51%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Mexico	63c	25,000$15,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,250	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ecuador	35c	24,458$8,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,559.92	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Ecuador	10c	23,947$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	98	23.5%23 W · 75 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Ecuador	30c	23,528$7,089 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,088.75	174	47.1%82 W · 92 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Ecuador	38c	23,000$8,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,740	136	39%53 W · 83 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Ecuador	37c	22,222$8,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,222.14	218	36.2%79 W · 139 L	-19.0wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Mexico	65c	21,058$13,688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,370.25	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf072…467abacked Mexico	63c	20,635$13,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,634.92	94	46.8%44 W · 50 L	+5.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Mexico	69c	20,000$13,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,199.99	158	43%68 W · 90 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd849…6ac7backed Mexico	63c	19,309$12,165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,144.47	21	76.2%16 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	69cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed Mexico	64c	18,750$12,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,750	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-31%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Ecuador	38c	18,073$6,868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,867.6	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Ecuador	4c	17,109$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.36	219	46.1%101 W · 118 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89e1…ea4cbacked Mexico	63c	16,318$10,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,037.48	82	50%41 W · 41 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Mexico	62c	16,156$10,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,139.16	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Ecuador	37c	16,000$5,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,919.98	296	46.3%137 W · 159 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Ecuador	37c	15,864$5,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,869.54	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Mexico	73c	15,265$11,163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,102.4	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba38…fb57backed Mexico	69c	14,500$10,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,495	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Ecuador	31c	14,500$4,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,494.99	258	44.6%115 W · 143 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Mexico	70c	14,286$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,285.71	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked Mexico	62c	14,000$8,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,319.95	131	63.4%83 W · 48 L	+8.1wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Mexico	63c	13,617$8,579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,038.42	174	52.3%91 W · 83 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Mexico	64c	12,500$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,500	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Ecuador	37c	12,222$4,522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,522.14	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Ecuador	37c	12,000$4,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,439.98	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Ecuador	36c	12,000$4,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,319.96	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Ecuador	10c	11,798$1,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,175.6	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Mexico	64c	11,579$7,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,203.27	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	+6.1wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7c4…affabacked Mexico	63c	11,111$7,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,111.11	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Mexico	64c	10,987$7,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,987.1	227	49.3%112 W · 115 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdefe…f93dbacked Mexico	64c	10,938$7,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,937.5	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Ecuador	13c	10,311$1,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,307.29	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mexico	69c	10,185$7,062 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,122.96	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c2f…d8c2backed Mexico	63c	10,115$6,372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,742.44	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Mexico	63c	10,000$6,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,700	169	57.4%97 W · 72 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Mexico	63c	10,000$6,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,700	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Mexico	64c	10,000$6,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,650	143	51.7%74 W · 69 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Mexico	70c	10,000$7,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	62	59.7%37 W · 25 L	+4.2wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Mexico	63c	10,000$6,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,719.98	377	54.4%205 W · 172 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe467…593abacked Mexico	63c	9,884$6,227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,657.01	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Mexico	72c	9,416$6,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,639.57	420	43.1%181 W · 239 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Ecuador	38c	9,058$3,442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,442	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked Ecuador	8c	8,815$708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$708.32	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…37cdbacked Mexico	63c	8,730$5,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,230.16	47	21.3%10 W · 37 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93f6…4814backed Ecuador	38c	8,620$3,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,275.41	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.31per pick	43cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8f6…15fbbacked Mexico	63c	8,501$5,356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,145.49	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+5.1wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Mexico	64c	8,449$5,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,039.28	332	35.5%118 W · 214 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe745…5681backed Mexico	64c	8,175$5,232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,943	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Mexico	77c	8,133$6,268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,864.69	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aaf…b21abacked Ecuador	37c	8,108$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Ecuador	9c	8,060$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.69	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Mexico	63c	8,000$5,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,960	47	8.5%4 W · 43 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Ecuador	30c	8,000$2,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,360	83	25.3%21 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58a3…5336backed Mexico	63c	7,941$5,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,938.34	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0343…f2dcbacked Mexico	63c	7,937$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,936.51	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4629…edd8backed Mexico	63c	7,937$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,936.51	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	65cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2332…3fc5backed Mexico	65c	7,881$5,092 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,789.38	117	41.9%49 W · 68 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe23b…7c42backed Mexico	64c	7,855$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,854.58	58	60.3%35 W · 23 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Mexico	64c	7,850$5,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,825.2	864	55.3%478 W · 386 L	+8.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Ecuador	37c	7,777$2,877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,877.49	190	38.9%74 W · 116 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Mexico	73c	7,743$5,619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,123.92	333	37.8%126 W · 207 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed Ecuador	16c	7,539$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.63	130	37.7%49 W · 81 L	-10.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancethis page
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 5.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 6.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Mexico won
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Mexico won
Spread: Ecuador (-3.5)Mexico won
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico won
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Mexico (-3.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Mexico (-4.5)Ecuador won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event