Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32379cca7eb26f436054f2627953d4d1f010df136b118c5bc09c7f56007daf63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $457,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $488,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 1c | 50,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 245 | 33.5%82 W · 163 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 15c | 46,682$7,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,018.77 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…87e0backed Under | 16c | 31,273$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Under | 15c | 23,810$3,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,571.56 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 15c | 18,706$2,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805.88 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Under | 15c | 16,355$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Under | 16c | 15,278$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.54 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Under | 17c | 13,000$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…18e4backed Under | 16c | 7,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Under | 16c | 6,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked Under | 16c | 6,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +86%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Under | 15c | 5,952$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under | 15c | 5,035$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.13 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…3930backed Under | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 15c | 4,991$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.77 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8a…2562backed Under | 15c | 3,667$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacea…8b97backed Under | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 2c | 2,973$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 14c | 2,850$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.99 | 258 | 57.4%148 W · 110 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 12c | 2,843$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.68 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Under | 17c | 2,375$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Under | 16c | 1,790$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.44 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 16c | 1,639$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.07 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe538…c28bbacked Under | 8c | 1,413$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 122 | 24.6%30 W · 92 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 15c | 1,367$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.05 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…4211backed Under | 16c | 1,200$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 13c | 1,053$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.46 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…c84dbacked Under | 16c | 1,050$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under | 4c | 1,006$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ec…aa22backed Under | 2c | 1,002$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 217 | 22.1%48 W · 169 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Under | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked Under | 16c | 940$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 15c | 834.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.14 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 2c | 796$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 16c | 793.49$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.37 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 14c | 782.61$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.56 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked Under | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +348.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 14c | 699.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Under | 14c | 667.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.51 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…4cb9backed Under | 3c | 600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 2cpaid | +622.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…d0ecbacked Under | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 17c | 584.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 24.5%47 W · 145 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 15c | 554.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.29 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 17c | 547.06$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 280 | 25%70 W · 210 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01c…fa58backed Under | 17c | 491.76$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Under | 15c | 460$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Under | 5c | 435$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Under | 15c | 362.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655a…8fadbacked Under | 15c | 311.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 107 | 15%16 W · 91 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8d…f78abacked Under | 15c | 310$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Under | 6c | 307$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 2.1%2 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Under | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Under | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…14c0backed Under | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…1c29backed Under | 15c | 293.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 6c | 285.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 6c | 272$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Under | 17c | 258.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Under | 15c | 246.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…d876backed Under | 16c | 241.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc3…4bdcbacked Under | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 14c | 224.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 11c | 219.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 14c | 214.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a97…fe97backed Under | 17c | 210$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…0fcbbacked Under | 16c | 205.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 267 | 20.6%55 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 14c | 178.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Under | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 248 | 25.8%64 W · 184 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 15c | 156.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 16c | 156$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…0079backed Under | 16c | 150.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8473…8f23backed Under | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 10c | 136$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f6…25b6backed Under | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 32.4%45 W · 94 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Under | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd419…3f03backed Under | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe149…668cbacked Under | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…7210backed Under | 14c | 110.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 323 | 17.6%57 W · 266 L | -43.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under | 16c | 88.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed Under | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20aa…b3dcbacked Under | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…7f7abacked Under | 15c | 65.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…9e0ebacked Under | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1300…d632backed Under | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5this page
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 5.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 6.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to AdvanceMexico won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Ecuador (-3.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Mexico (-3.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Mexico (-4.5)Ecuador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.