TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$457,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$488,708

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x122b…ac59backed Under1c50,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under15c46,682$7,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,018.772,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94e4…87e0backed Under16c31,273$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005523.6%13 W · 42 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under15c23,810$3,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,571.5633538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under15c18,706$2,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,805.8844539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Under15c16,355$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50014829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under16c15,278$2,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.5412248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under17c13,000$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,17311149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under16c10,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60018740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under16c7,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1206016.7%10 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under16c6,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa87d…e4bfbacked Under16c6,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9604223.8%10 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid+86%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under15c5,952$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9006930.4%21 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under15c5,035$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.1339644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41de…3930backed Under15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under15c4,991$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.771,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under15c3,667$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5507025.7%18 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Under15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45015147%71 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under2c2,973$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8718628.5%53 W · 133 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under14c2,850$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.9925857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under12c2,843$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.6851514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Under17c2,375$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010356.3%58 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under16c1,790$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.4429030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under16c1,639$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.073,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Under8c1,413$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11012224.6%30 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under15c1,367$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.052,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dab…4211backed Under16c1,200$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19212052.5%63 W · 57 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under13c1,053$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.462,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d18…c84dbacked Under16c1,050$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1696738.8%26 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under4c1,006$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8882537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ec…aa22backed Under2c1,002$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.03523.8%2 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Under16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea1…c38ebacked Under16c940$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.49435.1%33 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Under15c834.25$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1410555.2%58 W · 47 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under2c796$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.31,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under16c793.49$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3722634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under14c782.61$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.564,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Under2c750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under14c699.94$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9921957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Under14c667.96$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.511,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9067354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12646.3%4 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd2…4cb9backed Under3c600$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163013.3%4 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick2cpaid+622.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0056…d0ecbacked Under17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016927.8%47 W · 122 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under17c584.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019224.5%47 W · 145 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under15c554.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.291,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under17c547.06$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9328025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf01c…fa58backed Under17c491.76$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked Under15c460$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Under5c435$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5569826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Under15c362.56$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.254641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x655a…8fadbacked Under15c311.87$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7810715%16 W · 91 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8d…f78abacked Under15c310$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-70.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Under6c307$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8651429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under3c300$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10952.1%2 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed Under17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012033.3%40 W · 80 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Under17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038924.4%95 W · 294 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b4…14c0backed Under17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010133.7%34 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe702…1c29backed Under15c293.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+58.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under6c285.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1971939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under6c272$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.362,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under17c258.82$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410239.2%40 W · 62 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcff1…f8debacked Under15c246.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379131.9%29 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37be…d876backed Under16c241.91$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7112048.3%58 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc3…4bdcbacked Under17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401850%9 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+47.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under14c224.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.931,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under11c219.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.762,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under14c214.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3035719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a97…fe97backed Under17c210$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.74339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0459…0fcbbacked Under16c205.88$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3326720.6%55 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under14c178.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.991,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Under17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024825.8%64 W · 184 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under15c156.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4468141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under16c156$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9688852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07f5…0079backed Under16c150.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.142227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8473…8f23backed Under17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510937.6%41 W · 68 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under10c136$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.152,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x83f6…25b6backed Under15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013932.4%45 W · 94 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Under16c130$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.822836.4%83 W · 145 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd419…3f03backed Under17c120$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.49037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe149…668cbacked Under17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03eb…7210backed Under14c110.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under15c110$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.546743.3%202 W · 265 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Under15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517727.1%48 W · 129 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Under15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532317.6%57 W · 266 L-43.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-47.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Under16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1615751%80 W · 77 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under16c88.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8678234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed Under17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515440.3%62 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x20aa…b3dcbacked Under17c70.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127045.7%32 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x660c…7f7abacked Under15c65.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019047.4%90 W · 100 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x900e…9e0ebacked Under16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1300…d632backed Under16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010747.7%51 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.