Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x897bf3f2d83edb2840a7f80114854fe0eaacc642cc34846ffe4b5612bd651a0e

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $919,555
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,098,193

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $919,555 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe72b…b0a0backed Over	55c	150,536$82,791 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67,745.79	221	39.8%88 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Over	54c	109,500$59,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,369.87	204	48%98 W · 106 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over	55c	87,800$47,854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,945.94	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Under	45c	59,887$26,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,949.03	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under	46c	48,773$22,213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,213.17	105	55.2%58 W · 47 L	+5.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked Under	45c	46,242$20,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,949.23	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under	48c	41,864$20,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,046.59	176	42%74 W · 102 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under	45c	27,759$12,491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,491.4	105	56.2%59 W · 46 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Under	45c	26,854$12,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,084.43	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under	45c	24,300$11,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,000	99	48.5%48 W · 51 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	46c	24,154$11,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,163.22	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under	46c	23,913$11,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,000	108	49.1%53 W · 55 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Over	55c	22,384$12,311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,073.02	203	33.5%68 W · 135 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	45c	21,515$9,679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,679.32	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0569…f656backed Over	56c	19,643$11,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,642.86	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over	55c	18,156$10,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,146.19	245	33.5%82 W · 163 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	51c	17,563$9,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,529.92	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Under	46c	16,472$7,577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,577.12	148	43.2%64 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under	46c	16,349$7,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,463.16	239	49.4%118 W · 121 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26db…ba92backed Under	44c	15,000$6,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,599.87	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under	3c	13,396$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.61	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed Under	45c	11,111$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-31%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under	45c	10,705$4,817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,817.25	122	55.7%68 W · 54 L	+8.2wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3b…583bbacked Under	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under	4c	8,926$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.64	192	18.8%36 W · 156 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under	52c	8,480$4,426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,426.23	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	47c	7,634$3,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,565.94	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under	49c	6,981$3,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,386.4	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	46c	6,830$3,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,134.45	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over	55c	6,742$3,717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,025.14	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	45c	5,606$2,523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,522.55	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	44c	5,308$2,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,320.81	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Under	45c	5,290$2,381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,380.5	161	52.2%84 W · 77 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over	56c	5,017$2,784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,232.56	101	46.5%47 W · 54 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under	31c	4,875$1,492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,492.31	441	30.8%136 W · 305 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under	44c	4,601$2,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,024.53	108	51.9%56 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Under	46c	4,375$2,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,001.49	115	52.2%60 W · 55 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under	45c	4,067$1,830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,830.2	122	48.4%59 W · 63 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under	46c	3,892$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+55.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under	13c	3,846$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	279	31.9%89 W · 190 L	+11.4wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under	17c	3,623$603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$603.38	362	34%123 W · 239 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over	55c	3,596$1,978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,618.2	465	46.7%217 W · 248 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under	10c	2,984$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.86	229	32.8%75 W · 154 L	+9.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	69c	2,871$1,987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$883.76	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over	53c	2,831$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,330.81	216	41.7%90 W · 126 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over	58c	2,713$1,573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,139.29	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under	5c	2,690$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.97	175	34.9%61 W · 114 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	54c	2,585$1,384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200.59	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed Under	2c	2,500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over	52c	2,488$1,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,188.68	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x768b…bf0fbacked Under	45c	2,450$1,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,102.54	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+5.9wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	60c	2,445$1,478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$967.73	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	55c	2,309$1,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,043.17	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Over	55c	2,153$1,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$968.74	82	43.9%36 W · 46 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under	10c	2,125$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.5	141	31.2%44 W · 97 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over	65c	2,094$1,351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$742.76	253	39.5%100 W · 153 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	63c	2,089$1,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$764.26	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	53c	2,084$1,108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$975.87	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under	47c	2,042$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$969.84	236	37.7%89 W · 147 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under	7c	2,042$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	178	27.5%49 W · 129 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8de4…a68fbacked Over	54c	2,028$1,095 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$932.87	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Under	47c	2,000$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940	354	46%163 W · 191 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3da…4c50backed Over	50c	1,998$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$997.57	116	43.1%50 W · 66 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	63c	1,902$1,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$702.55	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc16…3abdbacked Over	53c	1,887$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$886.79	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over	57c	1,754$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$754.39	372	23.9%89 W · 283 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed Under	2c	1,750$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	107	32.7%35 W · 72 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under	45c	1,634$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735.3	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…01b4backed Under	46c	1,594$733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.17	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-3.8wins	-0.27per pick	49cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under	11c	1,566$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.63	251	25.1%63 W · 188 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over	69c	1,566$1,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.42	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under	46c	1,522$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696.47	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under	46c	1,410$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.75	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	53c	1,343$706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$637.33	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	56c	1,328$737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$590.41	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under	23c	1,299$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.7	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	+5.4wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+55.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdae2…3151backed Under	46c	1,292$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.35	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35b8…5e92backed Under	6c	1,269$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	99	26.3%26 W · 73 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over	71c	1,255$891 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.95	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over	54c	1,250$675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575	331	49.5%164 W · 167 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Under	46c	1,239$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	89	52.8%47 W · 42 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	54c	1,226$667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.15	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	15c	1,215$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.28	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	51c	1,199$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$588.92	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6bc…42c1backed Over	59c	1,193$704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.16	81	55.6%45 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over	75c	1,129$849 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.24	306	42.8%131 W · 175 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Under	46c	1,128$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.99	101	42.6%43 W · 58 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Under	44c	1,109$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.98	193	29%56 W · 137 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef87…e853backed Under	43c	1,108$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.99	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under	46c	1,087$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	137	62.8%86 W · 51 L	+8.7wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under	38c	1,063$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.17	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	-18.7wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f81…fdffbacked Under	47c	1,028$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.68	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over	47c	1,013$476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$536.92	151	41.7%63 W · 88 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over	60c	1,006$602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.24	345	33.6%116 W · 229 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	220	29.5%65 W · 155 L	+10.8wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-14%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under	44c	1,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	226	43.4%98 W · 128 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	291	38.8%113 W · 178 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…46ddbacked Over	47c	1,000$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 5.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 6.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5Under won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to AdvanceMexico won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Mexico won
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Mexico won
Spread: Ecuador (-3.5)Mexico won
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico won
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Mexico (-3.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Mexico (-4.5)Ecuador won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event