TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$399,023
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$392,370

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $399,023 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c227,887$123,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,932.254,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over50c97,904$48,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,831.374,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over54c60,077$32,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,225.132,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over39c16,313$6,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,408.212,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over11c15,646$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.872,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over12c7,776$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.1632029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under63c6,367$4,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,329.22,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under73c6,109$4,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.262,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Over55c5,700$3,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,134.745653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over50c5,442$2,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,716.631,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over51c5,424$2,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,746.611,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over16c5,308$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.731,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Over10c5,303$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.2938026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6509839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over62c4,988$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,101.0634731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over52c4,272$2,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,208.481,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Over60c3,499$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.4427433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over55c3,074$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.9673536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over54c2,798$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.381,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over56c2,714$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.2387237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over37c2,650$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.692,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over9c2,597$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.5382537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over63c2,510$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5911,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2888…0fe4backed Over10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505236.5%19 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over55c2,460$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.9165036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over14c2,266$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.9465737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over51c2,245$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.341,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed70…fbb9backed Over11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-45%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Under50c1,574$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.1528251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Over41c1,508$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.8915424.7%38 W · 116 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over30c1,500$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.531,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c1,458$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.58,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over40c1,445$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.652,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over45c1,430$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.682,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over48c1,196$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.0172247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Over41c1,055$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42816953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under41c964.03$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.292,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Over47c916.66$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43513933.1%46 W · 93 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under40c894.51$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.7112862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over45c869.11$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.5722634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under55c653$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.3788852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under55c614.77$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.81,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over53c612.63$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.532,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc86b…6e26backed Over10c591.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015040.7%61 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over10c556$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.61,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under48c553.66$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.8384751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over55c523.99$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.1958049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over12c476$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.122,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Over54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2167250%36 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76aa…58cebacked Over50c397.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009760.8%59 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Over55c350$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19128326.5%75 W · 208 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016946.7%79 W · 90 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over43c338.06$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.071,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7200…8557backed Over62c333.87$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2074650%23 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+31.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21af…e761backed Over60c330.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005650%28 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8310…ac48backed Over60c330.31$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19710754.2%58 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Under47c322.09$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.713545.7%16 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+94%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3097742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over51c299.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9927028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8fc…022bbacked Over11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309129.7%27 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad1…35d0backed Over12c265.43$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33478.5%4 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1882…1af4backed Over63c249.19$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.195446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…7005backed Over40c240.46$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.85837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb8a…637cbacked Over32c228.21$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under50c221.28$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6278234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae1…dde8backed Over16c213.61$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.59170%0 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over13c199.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9237237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef06…8e3cbacked Over51c196.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0a0…9424backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Over57c180$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.610156.4%57 W · 44 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x561e…c991backed Over55c178.86$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.210938.5%42 W · 67 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x533b…0a9ebacked Over61c172.23$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2123227.6%64 W · 168 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over11c171.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8295739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15a0…bbcfbacked Over59c168.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick22cpaid+277.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2411…d620backed Under47c168.25$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.616052.5%84 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe714…0b4abacked Over12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010862%67 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cc8…6304backed Over59c161.02$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-53.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under48c154.33$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2513247%62 W · 70 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over12c146.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.92,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under57c143.19$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5780225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under50c137.22$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.642554.4%231 W · 194 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Under58c136$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5445536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over15c127.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8313247%62 W · 70 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under58c126.78$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8263255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda71…e54fbacked Under79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.586055%33 W · 27 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over40c124.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9821641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec11…208cbacked Over59c119.75$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over52c119.73$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.267350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c81…8f47backed Over63c119.05$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515253.9%82 W · 70 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under70c118.63$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5548937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaeb…5bf8backed Over45c110$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.56953.6%37 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Under54c107.34$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8754956.8%312 W · 237 L+1.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fc…55ccbacked Over61c106.56$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510335%36 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x92be…3475backed Over56c103.38$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.895362.3%33 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf6…cf2abacked Over32c103.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Over61c101.09$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6617045.9%78 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over50c100.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011939.5%47 W · 72 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.