TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$517,799
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$593,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $517,799 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c291,298$192,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192,661.724,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over32c230,000$74,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155,399.7622348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over32c47,257$15,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,109.7623942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over34c13,279$4,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,820.922,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under65c8,476$5,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,509.4337959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over32c8,014$2,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,425.7665737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under68c7,495$5,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,066.834,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under68c7,302$4,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,936.183,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over51c6,845$3,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,339.362,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over36c6,831$2,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,368.422,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under68c6,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.9916258.6%95 W · 67 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over35c5,555$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,610.7532029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under67c5,105$3,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,416.422,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Over32c5,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.938026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over46c4,124$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,224.634,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over36c4,087$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,627.948,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over34c4,085$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,714.972,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under68c3,433$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.071,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under67c3,359$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250.4377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Over33c3,333$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,233.335947.5%28 W · 31 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under68c3,224$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194.051,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over31c2,567$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.2217625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under64c2,399$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.731,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under66c2,239$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.071,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under67c2,025$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.052,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under28c2,013$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.342,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under67c2,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.991931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Over34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.999440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under67c1,796$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.1174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under67c1,781$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.761,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Over61c1,776$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.645653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under67c1,698$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.3961750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over48c1,658$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.652,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over54c1,500$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.461,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd252…775bbacked Over33c1,479$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.676139.3%24 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over34c1,471$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.571,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c1,230$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.43,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under69c1,196$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.1452455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under67c999.99$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.9946546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under68c999.99$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9912862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over33c900.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.1828646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under65c808$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.259752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under66c800.66$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.142,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under67c747.7$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.961,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over33c746.33$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.0419713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x461e…5ce2backed Over32c625.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.318540%34 W · 51 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under65c620.12$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.0846550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under67c608.55$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.651,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over37c595.97$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.241,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under65c590.65$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.4379149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeff5…dd85backed Over34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2410546.7%49 W · 56 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Over35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.4317322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over36c555.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.8317938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under41c535.38$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.4480225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under67c499.99$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9920638.8%80 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under68c470$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.8288852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over33c443.82$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.3695739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under68c423$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.642969%20 W · 9 L+7.4wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+130.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over49c380.35$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.271,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over39c378.22$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.8465036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under67c358.21$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.6942853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over38c358.11$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.481,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over33c350.73$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.462,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under68c337.91$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.7263255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under65c321$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.2577051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over32c312.68$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.5897742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over57c303.67$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.2587237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20167354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under65c299.57$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9545548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa5…784abacked Over34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.129917.2%17 W · 82 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid+29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa898…71c1backed Over35c286.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.141533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f4e…686bbacked Over36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.781450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over39c256$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.81,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over32c255$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.071,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over46c253.37$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4473536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7aa…abe3backed Over33c229.75$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9425753.3%137 W · 120 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Over33c227.72$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.8211746.2%54 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7337…fe5ebacked Over33c222.64$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.171330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under67c212.17$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0886455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f5…9ed6backed Over61c200.16$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.068354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over32c200.08$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.183,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked Over62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7623429.1%68 W · 166 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805650%28 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under67c176.9$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1842332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fc…55ccbacked Over34c176.47$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4710335%36 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under68c176.08$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.248937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under51c160.09$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9984751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dad…1d41backed Over32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.254163.4%26 W · 15 L+9.8wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+70.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2523554.9%129 W · 106 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66f4…9c4cbacked Over33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.529231.5%29 W · 63 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdb8…0947backed Over33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.523455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa94…3601backed Under67c150$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.56216.1%10 W · 52 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over31c149.97$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.021,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under13c147.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.252,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2d74…cfb2backed Over34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.069335.5%33 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0629338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e9…c135backed Over34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0613752.6%72 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Over35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8615645.5%71 W · 85 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under65c142.78$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8161752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Under68c134.93$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1317460.3%105 W · 69 L+14.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.