TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$322,183
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$414,796

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $322,183 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under30c67,593$20,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,207.234,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6880…cf03backed Over73c41,018$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,018.126048.3%29 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over71c37,892$26,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,087.162,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over70c22,314$15,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,795.623942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Under29c20,786$6,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,028.038943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under27c20,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3003,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over70c12,050$8,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,562.872,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under30c10,752$3,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,259.943,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over68c10,563$7,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.3265737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under30c8,777$2,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,633.120731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over72c8,187$5,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.848,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Under30c8,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.997337%27 W · 46 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under30c7,051$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.644,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over70c6,410$4,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,954.812,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under29c6,142$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.62,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over71c4,507$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.0430465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed Under29c4,345$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2605740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over71c2,388$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.432,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under1c2,243$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4324533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over71c2,173$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.74,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under28c2,121$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.261,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Under33c1,999$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.735446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under28c1,889$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.12,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Over71c1,761$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.565947.5%28 W · 31 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over70c1,675$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.42,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5735244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under26c1,032$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.0559752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5b…5100backed Over71c1,002$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.494100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Over71c946.28$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.647950.6%40 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under29c945.7$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.821,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under30c923$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.551,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb06…0a43backed Over70c859.99$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2581172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Over73c822.05$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.0528251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over70c785.71$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.715538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x912c…aa92backed Over69c719.92$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.927374%54 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Over70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2918043.9%79 W · 101 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4437955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under29c662.79$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.773,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa94…3601backed Under31c650$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.56216.1%10 W · 52 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef06…8e3cbacked Over69c624.09$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.47966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd1f…f0d8backed Over71c617.59$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.599064.4%58 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over72c574.18$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.731,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over79c505$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.51,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under17c493.13$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.142,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over70c482.56$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.7795739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Over69c471.44$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.449751.5%50 W · 47 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over69c436.62$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.392,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea3…c245backed Over69c433.77$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.771855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Under30c419.97$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9951315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12452455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over70c390$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.473,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7be8…0f50backed Under30c388.37$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5111238.4%43 W · 69 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca70…3bafbacked Over70c372.2$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.662454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Over69c370.68$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9117045.9%78 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under27c366.72$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.841,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed Under28c346.17$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9310041%41 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under30c314.17$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2538026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3f…d4bfbacked Over68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9615837.3%59 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under28c300$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.697742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe714…0b4abacked Over70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7110862%67 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0919…2074backed Over72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.786065%39 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90c8…4573backed Over72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7811563.5%73 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over71c272.04$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6522634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under29c269.62$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.271,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under8c266.15$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.972,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under30c265.18$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8842853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under31c256.72$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.551,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eab…9d16backed Over68c250.72$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.231643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba3…9a44backed Under6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152218.2%4 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick4cpaid+547.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc40…af29backed Over69c246.11$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.597042.9%30 W · 40 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over70c245.09$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.233,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over68c217.92$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.738864.8%57 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under11c211.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2280225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Over73c200.54$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1617659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb7eb…bfbfbacked Over70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe897…0b3bbacked Over71c197.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9910976.1%83 W · 26 L+11.9wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+18%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over76c185.92$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3587237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under31c173.06$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3642332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66f4…9c4cbacked Over71c169.01$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.019231.5%29 W · 63 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa1…43a7backed Over71c150.54$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.66875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over75c150$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.641,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over70c149.98$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.998170.4%57 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e00…1a29backed Over69c145.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.133959%23 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under31c143.47$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.791,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over70c143.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0735251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c9…eac8backed Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.863164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99ab…f576backed Over70c140.86$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.263545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8551045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb262…9b98backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.855056%28 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over71c130$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.39573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Under30c110$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3319339.9%77 W · 116 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x634f…30a7backed Over71c107.04$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.042646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Over71c104.72$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3715667.9%106 W · 50 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd238…ee03backed Under28c104$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.121752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3323950.2%120 W · 119 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Under30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025646.5%119 W · 137 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2911841.5%49 W · 69 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Under30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029529.8%88 W · 207 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.