TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e00…1a29

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT3959%23 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$105.85
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$120.64
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+60%+$118.52
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.15
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$230.34
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$319.16
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$525.18
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$656.98
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$336.76
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$298.69
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.66
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$45.13
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$113.63
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$694Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$207.4
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$70.14
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.1
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.49
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$71.5
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$535.51
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$206.4
Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.98
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$949Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$446.4
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.05
Spread: Portugal (-4.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.88
Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$62.9
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.63
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$94.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$191.25
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$32.01
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$42.51
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$34
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$60.67
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$63.38
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$49.64
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.52
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$16.73
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$32.1
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$140.04
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$66.95
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$52.21
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$191.54
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$116.65
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+37%+$73.72
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$52.93
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$20.25
All 23 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick74cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$74.88
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.56
AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$64.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$81.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$75.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.