TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,618
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,618 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No39c21,797$8,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,426.616,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes66c14,456$9,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,935.751,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No34c13,744$4,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,730.822,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No34c3,407$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.81,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes66c3,386$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.611846.6%55 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No35c3,139$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.6419239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c2,650$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.634,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes65c1,563$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.051952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52560728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5411443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3fe…4ef4backed Yes49c1,213$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.43944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x714a…9dacbacked Yes68c1,142$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.322650%13 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes65c1,085$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.486743.3%29 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Yes65c953.63$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.843946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x007c…82fdbacked Yes60c886.7$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed No62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007650%38 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes65c800$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2809150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes66c782$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.4230143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4863…805bbacked Yes66c780.3$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.32860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes37c772.31$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.599035.6%32 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2349254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked No34c766.7$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.1713939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5815757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes40c719.73$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.842025%5 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-46.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Yes65c686.86$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.421056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes68c648.57$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.541330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1c4…a218backed Yes68c579.68$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x296f…eeb0backed Yes65c557.95$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes63c544.59$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.529044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No34c532.06$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2652454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1705752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Yes65c499.98$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.999756.7%55 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5413944.6%62 W · 77 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6322…0c4abacked Yes65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.54944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cf4…e221backed Yes67c444.04$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+111%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Yes68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.18850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Yes65c399.9$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.967250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa371…60c5backed Yes66c394.36$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.088666.3%57 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No35c382.39$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.961,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6584…c018backed Yes66c378.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.961163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa296…743dbacked Yes65c372.31$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.316157.4%35 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Yes55c369.4$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.46043.3%26 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes66c333.33$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3313552.6%71 W · 64 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes30c332.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.893531.4%11 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes48c325.83$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.439156%51 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed No62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006145.9%28 W · 33 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes68c321.34$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3412252.5%64 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes32c315.31$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.418537.6%32 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.692250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ff…b0e6backed Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.693560%21 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0342240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.033243.8%14 W · 18 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-30.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.038259.8%49 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes39c301.73$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.066347.6%30 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes67c299.89$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.976344.4%28 W · 35 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5117048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f7d…dd82backed Yes52c280$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.99850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+128.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Yes55c277.06$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0616045.6%73 W · 87 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes37c260$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.83125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7068…8bfcbacked Yes55c256.25$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.253154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.56857.4%39 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked No34c242.01$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826731.3%21 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes50c241.93$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.577050%35 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Yes66c239.39$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.395438.9%21 W · 33 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x91af…4794backed Yes68c236.76$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+109.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ced…6c81backed Yes67c223.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.882050%10 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d4c…a700backed Yes68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.591050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14d9…7ebdbacked Yes46c217.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Yes65c213.42$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.75356.6%30 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes67c208.96$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.962948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No50c205.56$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.911,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No33c202.98$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9872249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7016453.7%88 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6820750.2%104 W · 103 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No34c199.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6815347.1%72 W · 81 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed No34c194.8$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.272433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes39c194.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.047853.8%42 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes34c187.96$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9628633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x45d2…3275backed Yes46c180$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes68c176.47$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.479549.5%47 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes65c170$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.510258.8%60 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Yes26c157$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.737838.5%30 W · 48 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b57…71d6backed Yes32c154.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.491330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.854533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa600…0fc5backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.854261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8535347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8515461%94 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.854938.8%19 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes65c153.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.532955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff7c…c36abacked No35c153.32$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.49520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-73.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cea…8298backed Yes66c152.77$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe86…9b6bbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8207…7edbbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.528338.6%32 W · 51 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.518052.2%94 W · 86 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Yes66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2515560%93 W · 62 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.256056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cb8…bed9backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0630059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked No41c143.03$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.89627.1%26 W · 70 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.