TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,576

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Under36c14,376$5,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,200.572,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under25c10,636$2,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,700.646,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under15c2,997$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.82,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c2,374$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.224,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.914938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked Over68c2,000$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.721675%12 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under16c1,428$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.3230143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Under51c1,362$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Over40c1,355$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.272642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked Over45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5502532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33015060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98da…a9ebbacked Over50c998.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over51c981.24$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.818236.6%30 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Over51c947.23$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.781931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over56c861.76$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.564850%24 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99a2…c5fcbacked Over59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.46862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over59c847.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.451643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb0…3c1fbacked Over46c754.35$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over58c612$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.042250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Over36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3208134.6%28 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eca…576bbacked Over80c499.4$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Over59c490.53$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.122161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe124…9d4ebacked Under78c465.75$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Over45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.445335.8%19 W · 34 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+59.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over24c416.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.034637%17 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a9a…c308backed Over77c407.05$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.562373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20010533.3%35 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over65c371.28$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.284463.6%28 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.374355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b34…c545backed Over32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.54037.5%15 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+51.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over48c310$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.21741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Over58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1264643.5%20 W · 26 L-6.3wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over37c297.3$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.319826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over53c293.98$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.211053.6%59 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e3e…7fccbacked Over52c280.77$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.776045%27 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over59c256.76$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.273630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb239…80b4backed Over58c256.52$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.522176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2556…b00ebacked Over37c251.35$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over61c249.99$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.530149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Under68c235.72$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.291957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Over44c227.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.331225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-34.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.396437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over59c208.22$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.375935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x639d…4777backed Over77c200.8$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.281457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10019259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942552%13 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over51c199.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.998851.1%45 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c199.37$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.61,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…48e0backed Under16c192.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.19714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-78%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5eb2…55a7backed Under53c187.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-73.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7839…54cbbacked Under42c173.81$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over58c171.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.159154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4928654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Under65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over62c153.48$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4855955.1%308 W · 251 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc7…f1b8backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over70c142.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.833342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over44c136.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.366041.7%25 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over29c136$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.28648.8%42 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a49…f879backed Over59c132.2$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.21275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under15c129.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.381,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over30c120$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaf4…2765backed Under59c118.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf270…6015backed Over51c115.1$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.461827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over52c115.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.056043.3%26 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8207…7edbbacked Under16c113.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.218338.6%32 W · 51 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.116647%31 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dbe…b1b1backed Over45c111$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0512250%61 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a5…9445backed Over65c110.76$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.772748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over55c109.17$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1710361.2%63 W · 40 L+9.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over76c109$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1345751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over80c105$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.156168.9%42 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55c6…c338backed Under44c104.34$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.911442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4259645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ef…6b77backed Over39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2321…6a04backed Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4214845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x49bb…27bdbacked Over77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over52c98.19$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.194761.7%29 W · 18 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over51c97.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.651258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8429…8e64backed Under48c95.83$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4660%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over34c94.12$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1240942.1%172 W · 237 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2935347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over58c87.93$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9320644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over22c86.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3674256.9%422 W · 320 L+46.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd6d…c504backed Under74c85$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.92937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7520864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Under15c77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.732433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c7b…24d2backed Under17c71.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Over59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.82466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over34c64$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5243241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.818139.2%71 W · 110 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59f1…6710backed Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.63568.6%24 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x657e…e62fbacked Over34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.821947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under18c56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0854128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec6…9054backed Over74c55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.53100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ed2…9706backed Over36c54.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+174%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.