TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$223,738
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$286,077

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,738 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c29,516$16,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,644.896,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb50a…3348backed Over67c24,164$16,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,083.573938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over38c22,094$8,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,623.9623926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under49c17,021$8,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,275.722,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under35c8,601$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.152,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f9…54dabacked Over66c7,576$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f0…be32backed Under0c7,233$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.83669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under36c6,122$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over33c6,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,02050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over33c5,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,35010924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b5…3f5ebacked Over64c3,513$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.211573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08013837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70f…94bfbacked Under37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under70c2,857$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007650%38 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Over63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7405042%21 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.9945936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under3c1,929$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.877429.7%22 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.16per pick13cpaid+125%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.156446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under36c1,512$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.694,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb52b…b156backed Under51c1,426$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.461030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over60c1,285$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5147252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under70c1,046$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.652,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Over63c999.2$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.72138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under76c809.9$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6142737%10 W · 17 L-6.2wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-39.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over64c800$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28812642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcff6…09bdbacked Over62c800$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3042055%11 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under77c746$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.427353.4%39 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Over64c738.34$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.86144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under34c700$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23552454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under37c700$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2591,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over31c694.52$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.228050%40 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over67c611.94$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.944755.3%26 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Over42c600$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3518134.6%28 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Over34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.247433.8%25 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over31c567.74$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.748851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a53…505abacked Under57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002045%9 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over66c513.87$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.915246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Over64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1807149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1805752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Over63c464$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.682454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over66c413.64$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6427955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc897…f3b3backed Over67c364.25$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.251216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.7wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-68.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x50eb…6328backed Under37c363.62$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over63c337.32$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8140953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over35c333.86$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.866437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under34c318.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4672249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under63c317$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7113852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Over60c315.42$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.17683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+77.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Over64c314.84$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.846749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Over58c312.07$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.071533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-38.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d8a…e03fbacked Under66c303.4$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004864.6%31 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Under35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Under70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-63.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Over37c275.38$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.381931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under37c270.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009244.6%41 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7431…f73abacked Over51c246.56$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.86650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+133.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over47c242.3$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.530149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa362…dff2backed Over65c231.58$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over63c229$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.641,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0634…2787backed Over64c222.08$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+113.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cf2…6373backed Under55c219.09$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5230…11b5backed Under49c204.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10019259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb227…127cbacked Under35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Over63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over64c198.41$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.685438.9%21 W · 33 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe4aa…6156backed Over54c186.91$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.934463.6%28 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ad7…c097backed Over31c163.52$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.833619.4%7 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.737851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.253256.3%18 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.256553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa600…0fc5backed Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.254261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.255964.4%38 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Under38c151.61$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.617343.8%32 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5230059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Over27c148.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.521533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over37c145$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6545751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4296…4cb1backed Over64c142.95$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.46580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93b1…be45backed Under70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over26c133.01$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.039627.1%26 W · 70 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under38c130$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.49645.8%44 W · 52 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over66c121.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2120864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Over65c120.77$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.632466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e1b…4b36backed Under71c120.42$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58e4…d654backed Over33c120$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.254158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over32c118.75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7540841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under35c118$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.629855%164 W · 134 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over65c115.38$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3822832.9%75 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over35c113.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.896041.7%25 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over66c113.64$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6455654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over31c110$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3743241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…dc9bbacked Over31c109.68$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.682850%14 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over41c109.29$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.471,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under66c108$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2896645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under36c105.56$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384934.7%17 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over27c102.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6222244.1%98 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x657e…e62fbacked Over49c101.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.921947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.