TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x86f0…be32

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
181
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT4656.5%26 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.43
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.77
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Lilli Tagger vs Alina Korneevabacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,423Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,422.75
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$759Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.14
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$165.8
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,112.94
Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Gauffbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.48
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$221.15
Miami Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$95.33
Miami Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Miami Open: Rei Sakamoto vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Miami Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,281.33
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,517Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,516.54
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,778Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,777.62
BNP Paribas Open: Victoria Mboko vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
BNP Paribas Open: Sebastian Korda vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+39.4%+$55.94
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.2
Merida Open Akron: Cristina Bucsa vs Magdalena Frechbacked Cristina Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.2%+$49.3
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$550.49
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$32
ATX Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Iva Jovicbacked Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+41.3%+$110.68
Merida Open Akron: Katie Boulter vs Beatriz Haddad Maiabacked Maia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$60.4
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Filsbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Filsbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+29.5%+$115.18
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST3669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42.23
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$82.12
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+30.8%+$11.06
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$29
Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$19.49
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$20.93
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.3%+$67.8
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$31.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$89.9
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+25%+$10
Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.75
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+27.4%+$21.5
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+170.3%+$170.1
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.1
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+56.3%+$21.6
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+25%+$63.02
Newcastle vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+66.7%+$178.49
Liverpool vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$11.2
Will Brighton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$68.64
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$150.82
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+34.9%+$485.37
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2263.6%14 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$148.76
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.8%+$38.43
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.71
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.01
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+72.4%+$105
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$46.41
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
Will XRP reach $3.10 October 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$145
Will Bitcoin dip to $110,000 September 29-October 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,115Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+34.5%+$385
Will XRP reach $3.00 September 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,254Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+27.6%+$346
Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 September 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$94.5
Will XRP dip to $2.70 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$155.76
Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,093Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$290.49
Will Ethereum reach $2800 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$221.73
Will Ethereum reach $2700 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+26.3%+$118.07
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,191.4
Will Solana reach $190 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$234.26
Ethereum all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$761.15
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$249.13
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,901Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+69.6%+$1,323.25
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick64cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$110.41
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$32.68
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$55
FC Barcelona vs. FC København: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$68.01
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$14.4
PSG vs. Botafogo: 4+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Inter vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+61.6%+$477.26
Will Inter win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$340
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$212
Will Inter win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$299.7
Will Barcelona vs. Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.79
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+26.6%+$36
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$62.78
Senegal vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54
Nigeria vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Senegal vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+37%+$13.5
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+36.1%+$53
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$197.76
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+38.8%+$68.83
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+25%+$12.25
Will Netherlands win on 2025-09-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$811Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$810.59
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$424
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$114
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+108.3%+$15
Will $Trump FDV be $25-30b on Feb 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+33.9%+$180.89
Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$152.15
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,650
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,497.62
Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$764.6
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+100%+$79.53
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick65cpaid+62.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+135.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+212.5%+$68
Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$19.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+83.2%+$59.45
Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H Moneylinebacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+37.3%+$37.96
Will Gold hit $3,000 before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+37.3%+$135.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will none of the named coins be listed on Binance in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,191Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+43.9%+$523.16
$PEPE vs. $WIF - First to $10B?backed $WIF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST-100%-$23.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+56.2%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+33%+$24.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$65
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,815Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,814.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.