Token Launches · resolved market
$PEPE vs. $WIF - First to $10B?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc700170bd587ca5102b54fd2bce15bfa3ff835a86f5b12e41494c07c4855f06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- $PEPEof $PEPE, $WIF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $338,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $345,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $338,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked $WIF | 1c | 56,905$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.05 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 6cpaid | +170%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f8…b5e6backed $WIF | 40c | 30,100$12,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,040 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6589…aca7backed $PEPE | 60c | 25,100$15,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,040 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f57…1a33backed $PEPE | 60c | 19,100$11,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,640 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…cde1backed $PEPE | 57c | 14,140$8,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,114.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf537…32a3backed $PEPE | 60c | 12,000$7,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…ca42backed $WIF | 45c | 10,386$4,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,665.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7208…ed4fbacked $PEPE | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7282…5cffbacked $WIF | 45c | 8,110$3,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,645.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7d…6b8fbacked $PEPE | 55c | 8,084$4,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,638.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a64…959fbacked $PEPE | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7c…81aebacked $PEPE | 60c | 5,510$3,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…4604backed $PEPE | 60c | 5,504$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…4070backed $PEPE | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe646…6450backed $WIF | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…fe91backed $WIF | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…ea9abacked $WIF | 41c | 4,356$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…0b5fbacked $WIF | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaf…1bcdbacked $WIF | 42c | 3,300$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb58a…4cdabacked $WIF | 42c | 3,200$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…e04fbacked $WIF | 41c | 2,225$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…9973backed $WIF | 41c | 2,210$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…3cefbacked $WIF | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9728…aefebacked $WIF | 42c | 1,940$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…2c4cbacked $PEPE | 58c | 1,940$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3132…a6b8backed $WIF | 41c | 1,610$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…b98ebacked $PEPE | 59c | 1,610$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120b…6561backed $WIF | 41c | 1,600$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4c…7265backed $PEPE | 59c | 1,600$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c3…0755backed $WIF | 41c | 1,585$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4261…a223backed $PEPE | 61c | 1,511$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked $PEPE | 56c | 1,311$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.63 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd5…8237backed $PEPE | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32fe…1dbebacked $WIF | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed $WIF | 28c | 1,211$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83e…b26ebacked $WIF | 39c | 1,131$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…f255backed $WIF | 9c | 1,094$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68e0backed $PEPE | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32da…5769backed $WIF | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ad…a4e3backed $PEPE | 58c | 900$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe764…0479backed $WIF | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd000…3fb9backed $PEPE | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…070fbacked $WIF | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0e…7ca7backed $PEPE | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840c…6f10backed $WIF | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084a…6d19backed $PEPE | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a9…a77abacked $PEPE | 60c | 770.77$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd516…0059backed $WIF | 40c | 770.77$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe96c…9e22backed $PEPE | 52c | 748.84$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c9…3806backed $PEPE | 59c | 650$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…2158backed $WIF | 41c | 650$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3c…bc7abacked $WIF | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ae…c4edbacked $PEPE | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed $PEPE | 72c | 583.1$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.6 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked $PEPE | 58c | 565.18$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed $WIF | 45c | 512.29$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…e30dbacked $PEPE | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…cfefbacked $PEPE | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed $WIF | 34c | 488.44$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8016…9894backed $WIF | 37c | 418.89$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed $WIF | 38c | 365.24$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked $WIF | 23c | 347.42$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfa…adf8backed $PEPE | 70c | 334.54$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…e248backed $PEPE | 52c | 332.7$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.49 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed $PEPE | 72c | 307.58$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.96 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed $WIF | 41c | 305.72$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d42…1249backed $PEPE | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…2aeebacked $WIF | 27c | 239.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d43…d842backed $WIF | 41c | 239.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f55…251ebacked $PEPE | 53c | 238.46$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed $PEPE | 65c | 236.89$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553f…bb07backed $PEPE | 73c | 219.95$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96de…eb8bbacked $WIF | 48c | 210.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…013ebacked $PEPE | 76c | 207.36$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…69e4backed $PEPE | 63c | 202.49$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed $WIF | 27c | 200.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -66%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7e…d35cbacked $PEPE | 62c | 199$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfb…fb18backed $WIF | 38c | 199$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed $WIF | 33c | 186.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed $WIF | 24c | 182.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf258…d756backed $PEPE | 58c | 174.87$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6c…be6ebacked $PEPE | 53c | 170.73$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…b5dfbacked $PEPE | 62c | 161.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…919ebacked $PEPE | 62c | 160.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -60%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d6…d33cbacked $PEPE | 53c | 154.12$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd394…587ebacked $PEPE | 71c | 153.01$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed $WIF | 38c | 152.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…892dbacked $PEPE | 67c | 152.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…0f49backed $PEPE | 55c | 148.38$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ac…c2aabacked $PEPE | 68c | 146.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1111…ca23backed $WIF | 37c | 138.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed $WIF | 44c | 136.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b58…eba2backed $PEPE | 73c | 134.15$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff3…4062backed $PEPE | 62c | 134.04$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9498…f522backed $PEPE | 54c | 126.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked $WIF | 37c | 110.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf3…c58bbacked $PEPE | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…dababacked $WIF | 43c | 110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…d596backed $PEPE | 70c | 103.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…72cebacked $PEPE | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.