TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6245…d3c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
277
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Movies, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT6248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,034.86
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.23
Will Southampton vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.41
Will Mohamed Salah break the assists record this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+48.3%+$270.15
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.18
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$24
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Will Newcastle vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$65.47
Will Liverpool vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.7
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+25.4%+$10.14
Will Fulham win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$279.5
Will Brighton win on 2025-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Brighton vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$489.57
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$66.3
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+35.5%+$60.31
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.24
Will West Ham win on 2025-04-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$46.5
Will Leicester win on 2025-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$7.59
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will West Ham win on 2025-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$19.24
Will Everton vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+138.3%+$109.8
Will Chelsea win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$44
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT3828.9%11 W · 27 L-7.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-51.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
Champions League — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.67
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)backed Al Hilal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.11
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$247
Will RB Salzburg vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.32
Will Real Madrid beat RB Salzburg?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.68
Will Wydad AC vs. Al Ain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Will Manchester City beat Juventus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.66
Will Monterrey beat Urawa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.09
Will Inter Milan vs. River Plate end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$204.8
Will Mamelodi Sundowns vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.88
Will FC Porto beat Inter Miami?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will Palmeiras vs. Al Ahly end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Boca Juniors beat Benfica?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+37.6%+$226.69
Will Chelsea beat LAFC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$46
Will Palmeiras beat FC Porto?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$27.2
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$258.83
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top Champions League scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.87
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.97
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$22.78
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.86
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.1
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.08
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$22.1
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST2454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+60.8%+$137.58
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+58.7%+$47.36
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+104.1%+$209.1
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$68.47
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$90.45
U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$108.16
Another Iran strike on Israel in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$13.92
No Israel strike Iran on by Sunday Oct 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$106.37
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$66
Israel military response against Iran in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$215.91
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$117.23
No Israel strike Iran by Sunday Oct 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+34.3%+$72.22
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+32.4%+$25.23
No Israel strike on Iran by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$16.48
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$212.51
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+40.9%+$8.41
Iran strike on Israel before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$221.99
Iran military response before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$948Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+47.4%+$449.68
Israeli forces enter Lebanon before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$75.64
Israel military action against Yemen before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$167.25
Israel military action against Iran in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT+81%+$161.99
Iran military response by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT+33.4%+$105.2
Iran military response by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2024, EDT+83.3%+$409.41
Iran military response by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$102.64
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20.13
Will Mexico beat Suriname?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+25%+$25.6
Will Argentina beat Colombia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+41.2%+$73
Will Bolivia beat Chile?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$15.2
Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Will Spain beat Portugal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+97.4%+$146.15
Will Colombia vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+300%+$238.5
Will Paraguay beat Colombia? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.8
Will Argentina vs. Brazil end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.45
Will Chile vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$71.5
Will Argentina beat Brazil?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will Uruguay beat Bolivia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+33%+$62.1
Will Argentina beat Uruguaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$406.67
Will the match between Sweden and Slovakia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$29.93
Will Spain beat Denmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$15.13
Will the match between Denmark and Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$65
Will the match between Germany and Netherlands end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$100.44
Will the match between England and Greece end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$155
All 18 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,408Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,407.96
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$12.78
Will DOGE audit Fort Knox before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,967Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+114.9%+$2,259.24
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$340
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+27.8%+$23.47
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$643.72
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$72.26
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,276.9
US out of WHO by Trump's first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$134.26
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+51%+$69.91
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+26.8%+$9.5
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,532Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$6,532.34
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$99.36
Will Trump nominate RFK Jr. for HHS Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$1,022.29
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+161.2%+$74.06
Trump wins a solid blue state?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$27.94
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2025, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil beat Paraguay?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.8
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$488.01
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+78.9%+$466.8
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.84
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$20.7
Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.1
North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+30%+$45.69
Trudeau resigns by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+39.3%+$50.82
Edmundo González arrested before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$134.25
X banned in Brazil by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$620.74
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+476%+$3,631.67
Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,457Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+402%+$5,858.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+38.1%+$262.28
Will Pump.fun launch a token in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+28.5%+$85.64
Will $Fartcoin hit $1b FDV in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$187.8
Will Binance list another Pump.fun coin in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$30.35
Will Dogecoin reach $0.60 before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+31.5%+$65.95
Will Dogecoin reach $0.55 before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+47%+$19.8
Will Hyperliquid not launch a token in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$27
$WIF listed on Coinbase in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$25.74
$PEPE vs. $WIF - First to $10B?backed $WIF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST-100%-$60.56
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,151Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+254.3%+$2,927.92
$PEPE spot listed on Coinbase in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will $boden hit $1b FDV in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+88.7%+$108.09
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,858Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+81.4%+$3,951.89
Will Napoli beat Parma Calcio?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will Inter Milan beat Lazio?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will Roma beat Atalanta? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$20.03
Will Atalanta win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.43
Will Bologna beat Juventus? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$44.04
Will Fiorentina beat Empoli? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.9
Will Empoli beat Fiorentina? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will Inter Milan beat AC Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$103.82
Will Juventus beat Napoli?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT+72.5%+$74.44
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.02
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+28.1%+$7.03
Will Lazio win on 2025-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Will Ajax win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+41.7%+$22.52
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+33.3%+$60.72
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$32.2
Will Lyon win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20.8
Will Ajax win on 2025-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+72.4%+$92.4
Will AS Roma win on 2025-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+100%+$90
Will FCSB win on 2025-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+163.2%+$248
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-70.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2024, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-66.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+37%+$13.5
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$74.25
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$91.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,653Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.9%+$1,164.79
Maduro out before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$403.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.12
Will Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,789Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+31.6%+$565.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+31%+$390.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell wear a purple tie at FOMC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$115
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$182.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok banned in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$17.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.