Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton vs. West Ham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63c5b036f4a151ff5ee6b5a979945b818a3b5971cd8f71e23f5924ddc1f44c42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 25c | 16,162$4,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 75c | 12,504$9,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 40c | 11,828$4,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,788.72 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…ce83backed No | 77c | 9,995$7,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684e…1717backed Yes | 23c | 8,998$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Yes | 10c | 6,185$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Yes | 49c | 4,544$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked No | 62c | 4,019$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.31 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…72f7backed Yes | 2c | 2,305$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 38c | 2,001$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.19 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 52c | 1,059$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.72 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes | 54c | 776.3$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.2 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 19c | 545$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 532$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 23c | 519$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.37 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 37c | 366.29$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.72 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e3…d432backed Yes | 67c | 249.01$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed No | 6c | 200$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…9026backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 24c | 120.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed No | 61c | 116.85$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 24c | 115.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…bac7backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…069dbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 24c | 85.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc2…76c7backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…8fd1backed No | 77c | 79.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…9362backed Yes | 24c | 79.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 63c | 69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 37c | 69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 76c | 59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 75c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bc…5897backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cf…0b33backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 76c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed No | 79c | 16.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton vs. West Ham end in a draw?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2025-04-26?Yes won
- Will West Ham win on 2025-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.