TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6705…8184

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
248
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8658.1%50 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$632.67
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$44.5
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.9
France vs. England: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$135
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$183
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.5
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+157.5%+$709.5
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$232.43
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$32.89
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$144.47
Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$22.09
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$118.22
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$302.5
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.79
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.15
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$22.3
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$39.38
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT4850%24 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.25
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$26.76
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$51.6
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.55
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.72
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+130.1%+$31.1
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$211.42
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.88
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$9.38
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$10.26
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.16
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$7.26
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will West Ham win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.1
Will Manchester City win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.1
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.15
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$12
Will West Ham win on 2025-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.83
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Set 2 Winner: Faria vs Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+417.7%+$404.71
Set 2 Winner: Rocha vs Martinezbacked Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.67
Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.16
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Raphael Collignon: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Karolina Muchova vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+203%+$33.5
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$261
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.1
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.56
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Jong (+2.5)backed Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmannbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.6
Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$131.84
Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Medvedev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.13
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$72.06
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreevabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navonebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
All 22 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Will Çorum FK win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$109.5
FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.6
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.01
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$36.55
Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.76
Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.69
Will FC Porto win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.33
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$17.72
Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.97
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.14
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Casa Pia AC vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$39.5
FC Porto vs. CD Tondela: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.62
Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$24.2
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$12.1
Girona FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.22
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+118.7%+$91.1
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$14.75
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$18.31
Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+247.2%+$108.3
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$48.18
Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.13
Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Will Real Madrid beat Athletic Club?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+104.9%+$52.33
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$88.04
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$546.92
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$114.81
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+142.4%+$117.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$63.1
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.5
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.25
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+100%+$40
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.34
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$228.91
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$7.3
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$12.1
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$30.6
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.12
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.45
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.05
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+57.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+41.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+51.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$21.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.