South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92d543817b48b864d4ccf5921b2f1d93557f6dd19e4e5c89ac1c0020cd295435
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa796…82fdbacked Yes | 49c | 20,607$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,606.98 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed No | 55c | 20,000$10,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,925.17 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 52c | 11,457$5,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,544.75 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 10,068$5,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,185.86 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 6,687$3,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,312.04 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Yes | 45c | 4,796$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.61 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…ab1bbacked No | 41c | 3,293$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51a3…9c26backed Yes | 52c | 2,347$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 53c | 2,343$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.79 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 2,176$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.42 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 51c | 2,002$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 47c | 1,521$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.9 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,455$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.32 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 45c | 1,234$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.92 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 44c | 1,185$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.42 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,025$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.38 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…3241backed Yes | 48c | 1,020$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 50c | 1,015$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.61 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 45c | 935.39$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.28 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 57c | 817.47$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.19 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…6524backed No | 51c | 805.04$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…a5efbacked Yes | 59c | 800.29$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +177.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 45c | 777.76$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.77 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 49c | 745.35$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.72 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 52c | 724.97$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.01 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 45c | 666.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.65 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 45c | 644.43$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.97 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 52c | 582.43$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.92 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 45c | 553.56$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.46 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 49c | 503.54$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.61 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Yes | 59c | 443.9$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes | 47c | 421.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.15 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Yes | 48c | 406.96$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.62 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked No | 52c | 402.62$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.36 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…a06abacked No | 52c | 388.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 72c | 384.7$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.16 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Yes | 50c | 353.79$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.87 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 54c | 336.01$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.39 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 329.06$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.26 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 59c | 328.22$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.72 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 308$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.08 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 49c | 289.8$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.8 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfc…5ae0backed Yes | 59c | 269.71$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 55c | 268.16$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.16 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 61c | 256.11$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…dc4ebacked Yes | 50c | 256$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Yes | 34c | 251.39$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 51c | 222.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.22 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 44c | 218.18$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.18 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…0d93backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 47c | 208.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.1 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 208.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.32 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed No | 53c | 191.78$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 59c | 186.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Yes | 51c | 185.58$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.73 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…403ebacked Yes | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed Yes | 55c | 170.64$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Yes | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 45c | 152.64$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.95 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 151.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 50c | 149.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.33 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 50c | 147.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 53c | 147.02$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 50c | 139.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.21 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 40c | 137.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 47c | 136.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed No | 42c | 134.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 48c | 130.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.81 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 52c | 125.03$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5479…16c6backed Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed No | 52c | 121.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 29c | 120$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 75c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 47c | 115.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…b0d4backed Yes | 48c | 108.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550e…0840backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 51c | 104.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 44c | 101.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 11c | 99.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.95 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 49c | 95.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…5629backed Yes | 48c | 88.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 50c | 87.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 47c | 80.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed No | 38c | 80.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-07?this page
- Will Carabobo FC vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?No won
- Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-05-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.