TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Karolina Muchova vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Over 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,633
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,633 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef4f…4598backed Under 2.556c5,187$2,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,904.21526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-41.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Over 2.554c4,964$2,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.2134857.2%199 W · 149 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under 2.560c3,352$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,004.82,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Under 2.544c2,498$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.71546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Under 2.555c2,213$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.413036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f9…a28cbacked Over 2.546c2,054$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.676033.3%20 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over 2.544c1,364$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.648659.3%51 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over 2.545c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.1127151.3%139 W · 132 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under 2.549c1,012$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.549,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked Under 2.554c999.94$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9715541.9%65 W · 90 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over 2.548c999.92$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9657249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ddd…7cdbbacked Over 2.552c965.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.395738.6%22 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under 2.560c916.78$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.713852.2%72 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b5…8723backed Over 2.545c650.6$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f6…6924backed Under 2.575c476.59$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.44862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under 2.550c474.85$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.4326355.1%145 W · 118 L+36.9wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+25.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xfaf6…dd05backed Over 2.511c454.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.554450%22 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Under 2.565c444.62$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28922245.9%102 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Over 2.545c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4463252.8%334 W · 298 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Under 2.551c435.46$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Over 2.546c434.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.742,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f5…f087backed Over 2.545c426.73$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.717757.6%102 W · 75 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under 2.555c424.22$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.832333.7%109 W · 214 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over 2.545c411.31$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.2265157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under 2.550c410.7$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.351,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b7…b0b3backed Over 2.551c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.162944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Over 2.546c373.91$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.919450%47 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe11…5e3dbacked Under 2.556c355.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over 2.544c347.81$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.7772638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Under 2.554c345.24$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4344851.6%231 W · 217 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under 2.554c313.95$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.474,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Under 2.556c312$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Over 2.544c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1684934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5d3…6b98backed Under 2.555c299.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.992850%14 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over 2.543c291.61$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.222,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdda…938abacked Over 2.518c283.33$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.331421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.26per pick47cpaid-37.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x792d…7363backed Over 2.545c266.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.673839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce8…c1f1backed Over 2.546c260.87$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.871181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.31per pick50cpaid+59.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over 2.552c256.5$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.121,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Under 2.552c249.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13048637.7%183 W · 303 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed Under 2.567c232.54$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.811342.5%48 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dca…da77backed Over 2.546c228.26$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2616257.4%93 W · 69 L+13.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Over 2.545c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2248144.5%214 W · 267 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Over 2.56c217.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.315931.4%50 W · 109 L+15.3wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+35.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21af…f272backed Over 2.540c216.98$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.678353%44 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d50…e29fbacked Over 2.546c191.3$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over 2.548c177.41$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.514259.2%84 W · 58 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Under 2.558c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030948.9%151 W · 158 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x378c…14b8backed Under 2.551c141.74$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.76841.2%28 W · 40 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3082…4a18backed Over 2.545c134.93$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.211145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under 2.554c117.59$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc8…9609backed Over 2.552c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x218e…95d3backed Over 2.545c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf595…fd9ebacked Over 2.545c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.116159%36 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over 2.545c103$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.651181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+47%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e28…07c3backed Over 2.546c102.77$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.512464.5%80 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over 2.550c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Under 2.550c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5078857.1%450 W · 338 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5cf…c503backed Over 2.544c99.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb28…59aabacked Over 2.545c98.68$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3054…055bbacked Under 2.552c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over 2.546c92.59$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504052.5%21 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under 2.553c88.13$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.033,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb6…96d1backed Over 2.570c86.06$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0646565.6%305 W · 160 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac5a…5f11backed Over 2.545c81.69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.936450%32 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under 2.546c80.29$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.551,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Under 2.552c76.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.631,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc7a…ad52backed Under 2.556c73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.881668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Under 2.550c72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3644051.6%227 W · 213 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Under 2.546c63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.984652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf0…fdbebacked Over 2.545c59.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce0…4324backed Under 2.568c58.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Over 2.545c58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.910348.5%50 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2208…53eebacked Over 2.545c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.562857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Under 2.562c55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.12263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over 2.544c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Over 2.533c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.52236.4%8 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf64c…e897backed Over 2.555c49.09$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…5ecabacked Over 2.545c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.441154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over 2.546c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4851236.5%187 W · 325 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Under 2.580c42.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2087…00cdbacked Over 2.546c42.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over 2.545c41.13$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6214456.3%81 W · 63 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over 2.545c40.93$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5192237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58ac…7636backed Under 2.550c39.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.764531.1%14 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4830…a59dbacked Over 2.541c36.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over 2.544c33.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6815837.3%59 W · 99 L-19.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x76ba…dcfdbacked Over 2.545c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8daa…ca69backed Over 2.546c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.611330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7500…5112backed Over 2.550c29.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.89861.2%60 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc938…fe1abacked Under 2.555c29.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37cd…ec49backed Over 2.555c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under 2.556c27.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.149351.6%48 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bce…db46backed Under 2.552c26.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1415854.4%86 W · 72 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6434…b896backed Over 2.548c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Under 2.556c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.