Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Muchova vs Noskova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x966dd28e14cc640cade142f3ce5935528544c5687b5c38ffcfca1816b154d6ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noskovaof Muchova, Noskova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x673d…1a91backed Muchova | 56c | 6,459$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Muchova | 1c | 4,526$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 1,205 | 8%96 W · 1,109 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Noskova | 45c | 4,272$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.25 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Muchova | 21c | 4,173$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.52 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Muchova | 55c | 1,759$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.29 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Noskova | 44c | 1,672$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.58 | 1,143 | 41.3%472 W · 671 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Noskova | 44c | 1,240$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.58 | 311 | 33.8%105 W · 206 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Noskova | 52c | 932.62$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.33 | 386 | 46.4%179 W · 207 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Noskova | 72c | 915.14$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.99 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Noskova | 45c | 718.72$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.3 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Noskova | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb0…f8babacked Muchova | 56c | 599.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Noskova | 49c | 549.11$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.88 | 2,399 | 50.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L | +76.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Muchova | 53c | 449$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.97 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc779…8e4fbacked Muchova | 56c | 435.71$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f2…21febacked Noskova | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf025…48f8backed Muchova | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Noskova | 45c | 279.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.9 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…72aebacked Muchova | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…f1f1backed Muchova | 12c | 208.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Noskova | 55c | 204.59$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 2,144 | 54.2%1,162 W · 982 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Muchova | 54c | 199.95$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 2,212 | 42.9%948 W · 1,264 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f9…3dcabacked Noskova | 46c | 166.13$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.71 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Noskova | 44c | 162$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 711 | 39.1%278 W · 433 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Muchova | 56c | 136.3$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 288 | 48.3%139 W · 149 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed Noskova | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Noskova | 47c | 85.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4159…beedbacked Noskova | 53c | 75.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…d83abacked Muchova | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Noskova | 49c | 69.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Muchova | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Noskova | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba1…3820backed Muchova | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Muchova | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Noskova | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Muchova | 52c | 38.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Muchova | 53c | 37.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Noskova | 47c | 37.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 3,204 | 40.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…30afbacked Muchova | 57c | 35.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…e9d5backed Muchova | 57c | 34.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Muchova | 33c | 34.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…ac32backed Muchova | 57c | 34.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795b…505ebacked Muchova | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Muchova | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 423 | 45.9%194 W · 229 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Muchova | 57c | 26.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…4b61backed Noskova | 54c | 23.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Muchova | 56c | 20.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 181 | 58.6%106 W · 75 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Muchova vs Noskovathis page
- Karolina Muchova vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 2 Winner: Muchova vs NoskovaMuchova won
- Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)Noskova won
- Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda NoskovaLinda Noskova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.