Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Muchova vs Noskova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa53484c84e4ed1dcd53d124dafdc47526eff78fd189988a67b3dba227d22cb5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Muchovaof Muchova, Noskova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x673d…1a91backed Muchova | 55c | 8,507$4,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,790.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Noskova | 65c | 4,465$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.29 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Muchova | 26c | 4,257$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,129.36 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…43f9backed Muchova | 35c | 4,155$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Noskova | 56c | 1,505$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.77 | 526 | 61.2%322 W · 204 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Noskova | 42c | 1,428$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.76 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Noskova | 56c | 1,289$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.27 | 365 | 54.2%198 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Noskova | 61c | 1,204$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.33 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…7cdbbacked Muchova | 52c | 916.95$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.46 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Noskova | 56c | 767.86$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 390 | 46.4%181 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Noskova | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Noskova | 54c | 489.31$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.64 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Noskova | 46c | 425.98$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.95 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Noskova | 46c | 402.17$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…dd03backed Muchova | 51c | 325.69$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.35 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Muchova | 57c | 316.07$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.45 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Noskova | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…f272backed Noskova | 37c | 266.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Noskova | 61c | 252.58$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.28 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Noskova | 46c | 241.3$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…fb48backed Noskova | 57c | 218.19$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Noskova | 46c | 171.12$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…0e20backed Noskova | 66c | 162.07$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfde…2297backed Muchova | 37c | 159$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Noskova | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Noskova | 60c | 148.14$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Muchova | 37c | 146.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Muchova | 27c | 135.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Noskova | 29c | 125.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Noskova | 47c | 118.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Noskova | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Noskova | 56c | 108.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…688cbacked Muchova | 79c | 91.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90cb…4622backed Muchova | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…f1f1backed Noskova | 63c | 85.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Muchova | 50c | 75.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…fdd8backed Muchova | 21c | 72.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked Noskova | 37c | 70.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…dbc9backed Noskova | 38c | 65.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Muchova | 54c | 64.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Muchova | 51c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Noskova | 56c | 62.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed Noskova | 46c | 51.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Muchova | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Muchova | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Noskova | 63c | 45.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Muchova | 63c | 44.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd797…8578backed Noskova | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b131backed Noskova | 58c | 38.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…4b61backed Noskova | 73c | 31.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba1…3820backed Muchova | 51c | 29.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Noskova | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe354…3ac7backed Noskova | 56c | 19.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Muchova | 61c | 18.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Muchova vs Noskovathis page
- Karolina Muchova vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Muchova vs NoskovaNoskova won
- Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)Noskova won
- Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda NoskovaLinda Noskova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.