TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe9a4…dbc9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
157
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT5040%20 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Sarah Iliev vs Marcelina Podlinskabacked Marcelina Podlinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.87
Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Keegan Ricebacked Keegan Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.71
Bloomfield Hills: Alex Michelsen vs Aidan Mayobacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.73
Winnipeg: August Holmgren vs Garrett Johnsbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+128.8%+$33.97
Estoril Open: Gonzalo Bueno vs Tiago Pereirabacked Tiago Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.67
Set 1 Winner: Bondar vs Uchijimabacked Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$41.14
Set 1 Winner: Borges vs Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+134.2%+$17.39
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Fedor Sosedkin vs Denis Klokbacked Denis Klok · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.97
Granby: Adhithya Ganesan vs Tyler Zinkbacked Tyler Zink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+140.4%+$35.1
Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondiolibacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$36.85
Granby: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martinbacked Nicolas Arseneault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$50.47
Contrexeville: Mayar Sherif vs Jeline Vandrommebacked Jeline Vandromme · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.66
Athens Open, Qualification: Ekaterina Yashina vs Lina Glushkobacked Lina Glushko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.78
Set 2 Winner: Muchova vs Noskovabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.51
ITF Rancho Santa Fe: Jo-Yee Chan vs Kate Fakihbacked Kate Fakih · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.97
ITF San Salvador De Jujuy: Enzo Kohlmann vs Thiago Cigarranbacked Enzo Kohlmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.04
Contrexeville: Francesca Jones vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.43
ITF Laval: Karl Poling vs Maxime St-Hilairebacked Maxime St-Hilaire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.48
ITF Buzau: Pia Lovric vs Julie Struplovabacked Pia Lovric · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.56
ITF Tokyo: Matthew Dellavedova vs Yusuke Kusuharabacked Matthew Dellavedova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+118.1%+$35.27
ITF Luan: Yingqun Sun vs Maralgoo Chogsomjavbacked Yingqun Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$31.86
ITF Columbus: Teah Chavez vs Luciana Perrybacked Teah Chavez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
ITF Buzau: Madison Sieg vs Nicole Gadientbacked Nicole Gadient · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.24
ITF Amstelveen: Pieter De Lange vs Jakub Nicodbacked Jakub Nicod · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
ITF Getxo: Esther Lopez Alcaraz vs Lisa Claeysbacked Esther Lopez Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.87
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+160.7%+$24.15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$14.39
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.01
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+195.5%+$22.05
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+157.9%+$25.8
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$11.78
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+143.3%+$28.65
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C or higher on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+289.2%+$64.15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.43
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.3%+$33.65
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+116.9%+$34.59
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.57
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.88
Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 2 Austria?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+254.6%+$60.95
Exact Score: Panama 1 - 2 England?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$40.6
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 2 IR Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$68.96
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 2 Colombia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.75
Exact Score: Ghana 1 - 0 Panama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.04
Will Ibanez be in Brazil's Starting 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.02
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Chile?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.58
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 3 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+135.8%+$35.65
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.17
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$27.55
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+146.1%+$40.95
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winnerbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.89
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Ding Cuts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.65
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.41
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.94
Counter-Strike: SAW vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winnerbacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.66
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.6
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.98
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.98
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.91
LoL: G2 NORD vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.87
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.75
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-67.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-59.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.96
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+143.3%+$21.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$68.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Beijing Guoan FC 1 - 2 Henan FC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: St. Louis City SC 3 - 2 Sporting Kansas City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Atlétic Club d'Escaldes 2 - 1 FK Mornar Bar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.