Tennis · resolved market
ITF Getxo: Esther Lopez Alcaraz vs Lisa Claeys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e78d99d35a039682caac6fd3dd353cb3201f70dc8194b6f60464f36015c0673
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lisa Claeysof Esther Lopez Alcaraz, Lisa Claeys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Lisa Claeys | 69c | 5,029$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.46 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 34c | 1,764$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.76 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lisa Claeys | 62c | 1,549$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.41 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 31c | 1,306$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.65 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 31c | 1,241$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.4 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 32c | 1,105$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.46 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 30c | 1,024$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.06 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 45c | 810.68$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.5 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Lisa Claeys | 65c | 745.91$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.97 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 31c | 499.97$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.8 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 30c | 354.24$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.18 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Lisa Claeys | 63c | 310$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.01 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Lisa Claeys | 60c | 281$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.9 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 31c | 251$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Lisa Claeys | 65c | 224.75$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.94 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Lisa Claeys | 50c | 179.51$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.14 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 31c | 174.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Lisa Claeys | 49c | 103.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…dbc9backed Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 35c | 82.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Lisa Claeys | 44c | 80.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 43c | 66.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Lisa Claeys | 55c | 62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…2b05backed Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 39c | 57.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Lisa Claeys | 63c | 51.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 32c | 35.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Lisa Claeys | 49c | 34.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Lisa Claeys | 44c | 27.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Lisa Claeys | 49c | 27.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Lisa Claeys | 62c | 25.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Lisa Claeys | 63c | 24.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Esther Lopez Alcaraz | 49c | 22.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Lisa Claeys | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Lisa Claeys | 67c | 15.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.