Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 2 IR Iran?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aadda398b63c2518913198e5303d25289a9c74521024f57e99491aa3e0670c6

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $148,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $145,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,668 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes	6c	23,117$1,387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,387.01	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	11c	17,675$1,992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,992.3	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	6c	3,828$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.65	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Yes	6c	3,500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes	7c	2,470$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	290	18.6%54 W · 236 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No	29c	2,068$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,468.27	135	52.6%71 W · 64 L	+25.9wins	+0.19per pick	33cpaid	+129%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	6c	1,844$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.64	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	15c	1,746$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	35c	1,741$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.31	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes	71c	1,449$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024.86	389	60.7%236 W · 153 L	+24.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes	18c	1,114$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Yes	5c	999.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	246	26%64 W · 182 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	76c	979.69$746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.06	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed No	73c	816.66$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.66	338	43.5%147 W · 191 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes	43c	765.24$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.1	626	33.9%212 W · 414 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e51…c6aabacked Yes	12c	749$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.33	123	41.5%51 W · 72 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe3f…abe7backed Yes	8c	725$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	79	10.1%8 W · 71 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Yes	71c	703.9$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.77	274	66.4%182 W · 92 L	+28.8wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbdc2…e485backed Yes	6c	693.5$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.61	194	50.5%98 W · 96 L	+13.1wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+20%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Yes	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	302	19.9%60 W · 242 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes	79c	619.09$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.29	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes	55c	558.4$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.54	508	33.3%169 W · 339 L	-35.7wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed No	62c	534.9$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.77	270	34.4%93 W · 177 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe444…fa95backed Yes	12c	505.83$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.7	89	30.3%27 W · 62 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed36…33d5backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	87	33.3%29 W · 58 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc50b…1fd9backed Yes	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	57	14%8 W · 49 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes	38c	437.31$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.21	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a0…aee2backed Yes	7c	428.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	121	40.5%49 W · 72 L	+7.2wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x323e…964abacked Yes	10c	422.83$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	-4.6wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x23d6…e7acbacked Yes	6c	421.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.31	97	17.5%17 W · 80 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbba9…2e70backed Yes	15c	400$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	198	17.2%34 W · 164 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	40c	397.32$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.24	460	47.2%217 W · 243 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes	13c	342.32$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.2	229	31%71 W · 158 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes	29c	338.16$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.43	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4765…ca11backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	116	12.9%15 W · 101 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	131	12.2%16 W · 115 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b2…1911backed Yes	6c	291.5$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.49	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f9…2ffcbacked Yes	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	83	22.9%19 W · 64 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes	40c	284.85$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.98	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes	17c	279$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.43	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	300	32.3%97 W · 203 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes	6c	275$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	879	38.6%339 W · 540 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes	8c	266.41$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.56	335	10.1%34 W · 301 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea5…a370backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	155	17.4%27 W · 128 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9442…2338backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62d2…9675backed Yes	14c	249.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	225	18.2%41 W · 184 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	9c	237.89$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.44	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	11c	233.56$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.69	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No	17c	228$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.24	363	35.8%130 W · 233 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes	7c	214.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	295	29.8%88 W · 207 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	59c	213.42$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.05	237	50.6%120 W · 117 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3184…525fbacked Yes	10c	203.68$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.37	75	14.7%11 W · 64 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa318…77cfbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	110	9.1%10 W · 100 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	180	2.8%5 W · 175 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	200	3%6 W · 194 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed No	45c	195.32$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.18	176	59.7%105 W · 71 L	+25.3wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes	7c	193$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.98	984	39.2%386 W · 598 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x272b…e303backed Yes	8c	183$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.64	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No	17c	167$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.8	350	35.7%125 W · 225 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8431…bd3abacked Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	117	20.5%24 W · 93 L	-6.8wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes	7c	151.34$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.59	445	24.9%111 W · 334 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No	20c	149.25$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes	68c	145.5$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.94	356	58.7%209 W · 147 L	+35.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+28%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfd6e…0633backed Yes	8c	135.71$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-36%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes	10c	134.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.74	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecb3…f9f6backed Yes	13c	115.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	40	12.5%5 W · 35 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3291…dae6backed Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	13c	106$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.28	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes	55c	103.38$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.21	586	42.8%251 W · 335 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No	22c	102$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.56	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Yes	17c	99.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	116	48.3%56 W · 60 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9a4…dbc9backed No	30c	98.52$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.96	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes	31c	92.58$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.08	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes	16c	84.38$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	501	46.1%231 W · 270 L	+14.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No	41c	77$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.17	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes	25c	69.06$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.61	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba3…97cebacked Yes	17c	67.09$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.41	144	44.4%64 W · 80 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa625…fac6backed Yes	17c	67.09$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.41	390	43.6%170 W · 220 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed No	32c	51$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.83	335	38.8%130 W · 205 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80fd…11f5backed Yes	54c	36.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.37per pick	57cpaid	-63%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes	65c	30.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	258	65.9%170 W · 88 L	+40.1wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+54.4%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes	67c	29.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.77	289	64.4%186 W · 103 L	+42.6wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes	49c	29$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.19	361	39.1%141 W · 220 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes	70c	28.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.88	248	40.3%100 W · 148 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde78…4aa6backed Yes	70c	27.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.59	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4941…b03cbacked No	77c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.6	101	66.3%67 W · 34 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 2 IR Iran?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Egypt 0 - 0 IR Iran?No won
Exact Score: Egypt 0 - 1 IR Iran?No won
Exact Score: Egypt 0 - 2 IR Iran?No won
Exact Score: Egypt 0 - 3 IR Iran?No won
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 0 IR Iran?No won
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 1 IR Iran?Yes won
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 3 IR Iran?No won
Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 0 IR Iran?No won
Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 1 IR Iran?No won
Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 2 IR Iran?No won
Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 3 IR Iran?No won
Exact Score: Egypt 3 - 0 IR Iran?No won
Exact Score: Egypt 3 - 1 IR Iran?No won
Exact Score: Egypt 3 - 2 IR Iran?No won
Exact Score: Egypt 3 - 3 IR Iran?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 2 IR Iran?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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