TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed36…33d5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
223
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT8733.3%29 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick34cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Algeria 2 - 1 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
DR Congo to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$38.55
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 1 IR Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+525%+$157.5
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 2 IR Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$89.61
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$128.57
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$154.55
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$356.79
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT8549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$329.4
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+599.8%+$1,013.2
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.87
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.79
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$327.91
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.35
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$143.04
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+324.7%+$280.72
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.91
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+86%+$43
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.98
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.53
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$54.65
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$56.98
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+209.5%+$100.57
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$135.22
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+176.1%+$140.85
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$260.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$127.56
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.05
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.7
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.84
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$38.97
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+173.4%+$138.75
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.71
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.17
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.88
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.04
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.33
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$41.64
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.