Champions League · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfde197141b157aad24ed9874a92b01a6a80a898d41c8a16e6663ec5fa1b5b30c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madrid CFof FC Bayern München, Real Madrid CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $452,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $516,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $452,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Real Madrid CF | 56c | 151,368$84,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,698.74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 88,983$39,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,921.27 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 54,909$24,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,160 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked FC Bayern München | 43c | 43,867$18,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,771.06 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Real Madrid CF | 55c | 36,149$19,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,267.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Bayern München | 37c | 22,320$8,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,160.46 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 16,490$7,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,235.1 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Real Madrid CF | 55c | 14,330$7,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,413.39 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Bayern München | 31c | 8,396$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.64 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Real Madrid CF | 56c | 8,046$4,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Real Madrid CF | 57c | 7,316$4,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,163.99 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Real Madrid CF | 63c | 5,890$3,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.63 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 5,239$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.54 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Real Madrid CF | 58c | 5,067$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked FC Bayern München | 45c | 5,000$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.97 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Real Madrid CF | 57c | 4,861$2,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.34 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Real Madrid CF | 57c | 4,770$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed FC Bayern München | 54c | 3,972$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.05 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…d2f2backed Real Madrid CF | 59c | 3,671$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 3,295$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Real Madrid CF | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Real Madrid CF | 46c | 2,950$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 2,858$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.05 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Real Madrid CF | 55c | 2,600$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked FC Bayern München | 43c | 2,513$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.62 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed FC Bayern München | 41c | 2,310$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.09 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…43f7backed Real Madrid CF | 57c | 2,264$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 2,257$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.64 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 2,214$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.49 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Real Madrid CF | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.98 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Real Madrid CF | 55c | 1,980$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.83 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 1,953$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.3 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Real Madrid CF | 55c | 1,779$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.7 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Real Madrid CF | 56c | 1,739$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d1…bc55backed Real Madrid CF | 56c | 1,735$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Real Madrid CF | 58c | 1,681$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.89 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Real Madrid CF | 55c | 1,664$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc266…2f2fbacked Real Madrid CF | 63c | 1,553$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Real Madrid CF | 56c | 1,504$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.76 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Real Madrid CF | 55c | 1,460$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…65c8backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 1,316$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 1,247$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.55 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Real Madrid CF | 63c | 1,221$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +72%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…a517backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 1,172$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 1,130$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.82 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 1,101$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 1,074$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…9d33backed Real Madrid CF | 55c | 1,067$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked FC Bayern München | 13c | 1,052$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…e4cabacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 1,010$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 999.96$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed FC Bayern München | 13c | 998.43$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Real Madrid CF | 56c | 977.08$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Real Madrid CF | 55c | 976.57$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.46 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 967$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.15 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Real Madrid CF | 58c | 938.59$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01d9…27a3backed Real Madrid CF | 57c | 914.33$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…e46cbacked Real Madrid CF | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Real Madrid CF | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 859.77$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.91 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 859.09$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.85 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Real Madrid CF | 57c | 854.56$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.46 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b9…f10cbacked Real Madrid CF | 57c | 854.56$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Real Madrid CF | 56c | 848.15$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.19 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f37…f96fbacked FC Bayern München | 11c | 848$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 795.11$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.7 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 787.89$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.47 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked FC Bayern München | 45c | 752.33$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.55 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed FC Bayern München | 18c | 750$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ea…a6cabacked FC Bayern München | 13c | 733.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…25a1backed Real Madrid CF | 59c | 730.38$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked FC Bayern München | 45c | 705.17$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.23 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 699.95$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.3 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Real Madrid CF | 56c | 695.43$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 658.91$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.92 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 646.37$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.87 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked FC Bayern München | 45c | 646.17$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.89 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…7ff7backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 644.67$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Real Madrid CF | 57c | 633.23$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.29 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 632.71$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.39 | 294 | 45.9%135 W · 159 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…d11dbacked Real Madrid CF | 56c | 625.89$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Real Madrid CF | 56c | 592.85$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.86 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Real Madrid CF | 56c | 552.72$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.74 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…cde5backed Real Madrid CF | 78c | 549.35$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 547.25$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.63 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 535.12$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.16 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Real Madrid CF | 56c | 521.57$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0817backed FC Bayern München | 47c | 515$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 511.43$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.62 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked FC Bayern München | 42c | 499.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked FC Bayern München | 43c | 478.93$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.98 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Real Madrid CF | 55c | 470.58$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.76 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Real Madrid CF | 57c | 465.99$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.38 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Real Madrid CF | 62c | 446.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.17 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 444$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.92 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 443.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Real Madrid CF | 56c | 438.12$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.77 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Real Madrid CF | 58c | 420.17$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.47 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked FC Bayern München | 45c | 418.75$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.44 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)this page
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.