Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9f69f78fdedbf40663237ab113b1b2efef4d7b1fe032232708ed297889fef79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Bayern Münchenof Real Madrid CF, FC Bayern München
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Real Madrid CF | 11c | 24,766$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.39 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 14,148$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.03 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b57…71d6backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 13,522$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.45 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Real Madrid CF | 14c | 12,500$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.47 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Real Madrid CF | 9c | 7,098$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.83 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…7e50backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 4,730$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…b190backed Real Madrid CF | 11c | 4,390$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f37…f96fbacked Real Madrid CF | 9c | 3,370$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Real Madrid CF | 9c | 3,284$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.72 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Real Madrid CF | 9c | 2,731$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.8 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Real Madrid CF | 20c | 2,575$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Real Madrid CF | 12c | 2,100$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.86 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…12c1backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 1,872$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.36 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Real Madrid CF | 16c | 1,365$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.41 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Real Madrid CF | 10c | 1,277$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.95 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5f…10aebacked Real Madrid CF | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Real Madrid CF | 10c | 1,135$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.52 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Real Madrid CF | 9c | 1,134$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Real Madrid CF | 14c | 1,117$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.88 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…902abacked Real Madrid CF | 9c | 1,050$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Real Madrid CF | 20c | 999.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Real Madrid CF | 8c | 999.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…7e16backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 972.32$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Real Madrid CF | 10c | 964.8$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed Real Madrid CF | 15c | 947.33$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.44 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Real Madrid CF | 10c | 946$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c3c0backed Real Madrid CF | 11c | 865.31$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed Real Madrid CF | 11c | 850.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Real Madrid CF | 16c | 756.22$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.57 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Real Madrid CF | 9c | 667.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 183 | 34.4%63 W · 120 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…ed83backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 586.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7695…9cedbacked Real Madrid CF | 17c | 570.01$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Real Madrid CF | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Real Madrid CF | 13c | 478.19$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412c…2d87backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Real Madrid CF | 11c | 471$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed Real Madrid CF | 9c | 451.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Real Madrid CF | 11c | 446.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Real Madrid CF | 11c | 436.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…773bbacked Real Madrid CF | 21c | 432.08$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…521bbacked Real Madrid CF | 11c | 391.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…3772backed Real Madrid CF | 7c | 387.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 9cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Real Madrid CF | 18c | 375.72$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…5eb8backed Real Madrid CF | 9c | 315.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Real Madrid CF | 10c | 302.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Real Madrid CF | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Real Madrid CF | 8c | 288.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…494bbacked Real Madrid CF | 10c | 283.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Real Madrid CF | 8c | 256.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…cb42backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 234.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…906bbacked Real Madrid CF | 13c | 224.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked Real Madrid CF | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked Real Madrid CF | 18c | 216.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c31…8a2bbacked Real Madrid CF | 19c | 203.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…422abacked Real Madrid CF | 20c | 192.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff54…ccf0backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 190.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 189.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcc…c7dabacked Real Madrid CF | 10c | 189.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 189.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a1…6aefbacked Real Madrid CF | 10c | 189.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 189.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Real Madrid CF | 11c | 170.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2dd…1590backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 151.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a109backed Real Madrid CF | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7240…b014backed Real Madrid CF | 11c | 149.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d73…f538backed Real Madrid CF | 20c | 142.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…84acbacked Real Madrid CF | 9c | 140.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Real Madrid CF | 8c | 138.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Real Madrid CF | 18c | 137.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…1d8ebacked Real Madrid CF | 10c | 136.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Real Madrid CF | 19c | 130.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3a…610abacked Real Madrid CF | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Real Madrid CF | 19c | 125.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Real Madrid CF | 20c | 123.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +90%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Real Madrid CF | 10c | 116.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 113.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Real Madrid CF | 10c | 107.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Real Madrid CF | 10c | 104.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebe…b14abacked Real Madrid CF | 10c | 104.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Real Madrid CF | 19c | 98.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Real Madrid CF | 19c | 97.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Real Madrid CF | 19c | 83.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Real Madrid CF | 20c | 76.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Real Madrid CF | 16c | 73.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Real Madrid CF | 18c | 69.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…527abacked Real Madrid CF | 20c | 68.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Real Madrid CF | 20c | 53.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)this page
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.