TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1c67…a109

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: AI, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category AI at 55 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT6041.7%25 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.93
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$43.2
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+202%+$60.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$28.8
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$82.09
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.3
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$59.06
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24.7
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.04
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on April 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.34
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.51
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.83
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+34.6%+$55.07
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+37%+$55.66
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 1 - 0 Manchester City FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.93
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$32.7
All 11 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-4.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout be between 75% and 78% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37.2%+$14.87
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+42.4%+$33.9
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+41.8%+$58.92
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+38.5%+$96.92
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 7 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.7
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.21
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$34.05
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$23.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$76.29
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Grab Holdings (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.